Bubble Watch 03/14 | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Bubble Watch 03/14

It's hard for me to understand how a Xavier team with a 13-7 Big East, 21-11 is competing for a bid with Indiana (10-10, 19-13) and Texas (6-11, 19-15). It makes no sense.


Do actual Wins and Losses not matter anymore?
What has always mattered was who those wins and losses were against. Wins and losses are not created equal.
 
What has always mattered was who those wins and losses were against. Wins and losses are not created equal.

Who are Indiana’s quality wins? They have 2 wins over teams that will make the tournament.

People may think Xavier doesn’t belong, and I agree with some of those arguments, but the field needs 68 teams, so tell me who is better.
 
If UNC gets in, that would have to be the weakest resume of a power conference at-large bid in tournament history. They went 1-12 in Quad 1 games. They’ve played 35 games this season. A single one of them was a Quad 1 win. They had to beat a Duke team without the NPOY to keep their hopes alive and couldn’t even do that. But unfortunately for big names like UNC, they have to give the committee every reason NOT to include them. If it’s a question of if they’ve deserved a bid or not, the case is clear.
 
Looking at Xavier vs Texas. When considering whether to cram in close to a dozen SEC Teams vs a fifth BE School this is where there should be some consideration of the fact that the BE has won 2 of the last 2 National Championships and 5 of the last 10. During that period the SEC has won exactly ZERO.

But they won't.
 
Looking a Bracket Matrix, of the brackets that have posted updates today, Colorado St is on 31 of them, Texas 29, Xavier 27. Texas is showing as in the field currently only because of more votes from brackets last updated yesterday. I expect them to fall out with Colorado St. replacing them.

Of course this has zero bearing on what the committee will do, but it is an indicator of the current zeitgeist.
 
Memphis up 1 on Tulane with 2 minutes to go, AAC is a one bid league unless Memphis loses the tourney
 
The interesting game for the bubble is UC Irvine and UC San Diego tonight. UC Irvine is likely on the wrong side of the bubble with a loss, but UC San Diego has a pretty strong case for an at large bid
 
SDSU's next best win is against a Creighton team that was sitting Ashworth. Anything is possible, but there is nothing about SDSU's resume that says "tournament team" other than one win over Houston.

Got this one right.
 

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