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Bracketology Feb 26th. Baylor still a #2 Seed.
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[QUOTE="southie, post: 2597844, member: 2527"] Texas and UCLA are very close, IMO, so those are basically a wash. Then, you compare Oregon's two wins over A&M, and Baylor's win over Stanford, and Oregon still comes out ahead in wins against Top 20 RPI. What I do think is that Baylor is closer (in ranking) to Oregon than they are to Notre Dame. Of course, you have to play/schedule the games against tougher opponents in order to even have a chance to win them. And, you need to win a lot of them. The committee's first reveal had Oregon as the final #1 seed, and Baylor as a #3 seed. Oregon then lost a 2OT game at Oregon State (who is now at #33 RPI). They later suffered a loss at home against Stanford (who s now #15) . Baylor has added two wins over #11 RPI Texas since the first reveal. Perhaps the timing of that first reveal is hurting Oregon and helping Baylor based on "what have you done for me lately" mindset. If you look at the records versus Top 50 RPI teams for the four #2 seeds in Baylor (7-1), Oregon (9-4), South Carolina (7-6) and Texas (6-4), Baylor played [B]FIVE[/B] less games than Oregon and USC. So, based on the rankings, the committee is basically sending a message to Oregon and USC to schedule about 3 less (non-conference) games against Top 50 RPI teams so they can "avoid" losses and not be penalized. In a sense, do what Baylor did and schedule weaker in the non-conference and we'll rank you higher. If you look at the records versus Top 50 RPI teams for the #3 seeds in UCLA (8-6), Tennessee (8-5), Florida State (4-5), and Mizzou (4-6), Baylor played [B]FIVE[/B] less games than Tennessee and [B]SIX[/B] less games than UCLA. Those are huge gaps, IMO. Despite more losses, both UCLA and Tennessee have more wins than Baylor. Obviously, Baylor comes up way short, IMO, and a lot of it has to do with a weak Big 12 and only Texas and Oklahoma currently in the Top 50 which results in 4 wins for the Bears. The PAC, SEC, and ACC teams just have so many more teams in the Top 50. Of course, what matters in the end is the committee's criteria and perspective. I just see huge discrepancies in Baylor's number of games played against Top 50 RPI teams compared to so many other teams ranked below them. [/QUOTE]
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Bracketology Feb 26th. Baylor still a #2 Seed.
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