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Bracketology 3/9/2019
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[QUOTE="TheFarmFan, post: 3070992, member: 9403"] I'm now at the point where I think Arkansas is almost at parity with Tennessee in terms of their claim to the right to go dancing. [URL='https://www.masseyratings.com/cbw/ncaa-d1/ratings']Massey[/URL] now has Ark at 52 barely behind Tennessee at 47, and Tennessee's edge is largely the result of a stronger SOS, which may narrow once Arkansas's second game against Miss. St. is included. One counter-argument might be that the committee also likes to reward strong OOC scheduling, and the Razorbacks' only notable OOC opponents were Arizona State and Iowa State. But those are not clearly worse than Tennessee's Stanford and Texas games, and Arkansas did beat Tennessee in their only meet this season. It would seem unfair to punish them for having had an easier conference schedule, which they can't control. If Arkansas can keep it close against Miss. St., it'll be interesting to see what the committee does, because in past years, especially on the men's side, at least, there has been a propensity to (a) reward teams peaking in March; and (b) select teams with better wins even if they have worse losses, both of which make sense if you want an exciting tournament. A consistent team that never beats really good teams and never loses to really bad teams is less of a draw than an inconsistent team that can beat anyone or lose to anyone depending on the day. Thus, I now wouldn't be surprised if Arkansas can squeak its way in, nor would I be surprised if UCLA has an outside chance at a 5 seed. At this point in the season, I'd much rather play Gonzaga or Marquette than UCLA if I'm prospective four seeds South Carolina or Texas A&M staring at [URL='http://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/bracketology']Creme's latest bracketology[/URL]. [/QUOTE]
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