I know we kept it close despite no Adams or Gilbert, but the game was at home. We need to give everything we’ve got, and more in order to have a shot. It can absolutely be done, and after playing them tough/close already, I dont think the guys will be scared in any way. The only thing that scares me is that Houston is hot right now. They destroyed Cincy over the weekend and they put up 85-90+ points in 4 of their last 6 games. I expect a good game, I think the key is to get out to a hot start.
I think Cincy is a decent matchup for us which is why both games were close. They don't have the offensive bigs to punish us down low, their guards don't really penetrate, and Polley/Wilson are decent defenders for Cumberland.
The third game would also likely be close. But that has nothing to do with the 3rd time thing. If we played 6 times, 5 would likely be close and we'd win a couple.
UCF isn't as good, but a worse matchup for us. I think it's pretty likely we lose a 3rd matchup by a similar 10 point margin.