Bowl math

[shizzle787]

With 82 schools going bowling (including the CFP participants) and 134 schools in FBS, we need 52 schools to have at least 7 losses to go bowling.

Currently, 30 have already hit the 7 loss mark.

The following schools have six losses:

Wake Forest
Kansas
Houston
UCF
Arizona
Utah
UCLA
MSU
Northwestern
Maryland
La Tech
New Mexico
Oregon State
Auburn
Kentucky
Old Dominion

The following schools have five losses:

USF
UTSA
North Texas
Virginia
Virginia Tech
BC
NC State
Cal
WVU
Cincy
Michigan
Wisconsin
USC
Nebraska
WMU
EMU
Fresno State
Arkansas
Florida
Oklahoma
Coastal Carolina
App State
South Alabama
UL Monroe

 

[slepers]

Are you implying that we will be the last team picked for a bowl?

 

[shizzle787]

Are you implying that we will be the last team picked for a bowl?

We don't have a bowl contract so we will be the last team picked.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

Things work a bit differently these days but we stll will be very far down the list of schools selected

As we don't have a bowl tie-in we are part of the pool. On the plus side, there are about ten bowl slots that are selected from the pool of bowl eligible schools Additionally as both the B1B ans SEC normally have enough tie-ins to accomodate all bowl eligible members and each appears to be sending four schools to the playoffs, a couple more slots should become availbke for the pool.

I would not be surprised if half of the current six loss schools lose their next game and it is likely that quite a few with five losses lose their next two. What we need to be concerned with is how many of the five loss schools are scheduled to play each other as that will assure one getting to six wins.

Things should be quite a bit clearer in a week but we may not know until we are selected if we're going bowling.

 

[ScottVib]

We don't have a bowl contract so we will be the last team picked.

Not necessarily... UConn would probably go ahead of a lot of G5 teams whose conferences run out of bowl bids and get forced into the at large pool. They'd also go ahead of 6-win teams in the at large pool regardless (and P4 conferences rarely run out of bids)

Edit to add:

MAC has 6 guaranteed spots; 4 of their own and 2 spots from the G5 pool
C-USA has 4 guaranteed spots and potentially 4-5 spots from the G5 pool
AAC has 7 guaranteed spots 3 of their own and 4 spots from the G5 pool
MWC has 6 guaranteed spot; 5 of it's own and 1 spot in the G5 pool
The Pac-2 has 6 spots... which include the eligibility for all former Pac-12 members regardless of current conference affiliation
Sun Belt has 5 spots guarantee; 2 of its own and 3 spots in the G5 pool
Army has a guaranteed spot in the Independence Bowl

The G5 pool is based on match-ups, geography, team availability

 

[Gburyhusky]

It seems statistically unlikely that a 7 win team won't get a bowl based on the history of these things. It will be moot anyway because we will have 8 wins.

 

[businesslawyer]

Things work a bit differently these days but we stll will be very far down the list of schools selected

As we don't have a bowl tie-in we are part of the pool. On the plus side, there are about ten bowl slots that are selected from the pool of bowl eligible schools Additionally as both the B1B ans SEC normally have enough tie-ins to accomodate all bowl eligible members and each appears to be sending four schools to the playoffs, a couple more slots should become availbke for the pool.

I would not be surprised if half of the current six loss schools lose their next game and it is likely that quite a few with five losses lose their next two. What we need to be concerned with is how many of the five loss schools are scheduled to play each other as that will assure one getting to six wins.

Things should be quite a bit clearer in a week but we may not know until we are selected if we're going bowling.

We will be far down the list. But, you can’t count on us being at the bottom. A bowl that has a tie in with, say, the American, with CUSA being used as a back up, if it can’t fill it from those two conferences is not required (or likely) to pick a 6-6 MAC team over us.