... the real test [for Jana] will be vs. UNC and Toomey/Utsby/Gakdeng who have either size, experience or both.
I couldn't agree more. Toomey is coming off a knee injury of her own, so they will be starting from the same position, roughly. I'm assuming Thomas is healthy. This will be a very good challenge for Jana, and for Toomey and Thomas for that matter. Neither of them seems to be a gifted scorer, but they are both good rebounders and defenders, and Thomas has the same foul woes Jana has.
UNC is a much better challenge than they were last season. They have more front court size now. My guess is they will be a better team without Deja Kelly, who seemed to distort their offense. Their starting lineup is likely to be
- Gakdeng Ustby Donarski Kelly and Townsend.
If our starting lineup is
- Jana/Ice Sarah Paige Ash Chen/Arnold,
and Donarski has a breakout game -- unlikely against Paige -- a lot will depend on Sarah and Jana/Ice to win their matchups. Ustby is a really good small forward, rather like Aubrey in her versatility and ingenuity. She is a capable scorer, especially on putbacks and fast breaks. She may not be a great midrange or perimeter shooter. Still she came close to averaging a double-double last season. Can she defend Sarah effectively and vice versa?
The other key figures may turn out to be Ash and Chen. They are bot effective scorers and Townsend and Reniya Kelly may have a hard time keeping up with them, in addition to the height advantage they'll have to deal with. Ash is already more or less in mid-season form. If there was ever a game for Chen to break out, this may be it.
PS: Sarah played against Blanca two seasons ago. Both played well, though I think Sarah got the better of the matchup even giving up a few inches. Here's a link to a bad highlight video of the game: