At this point, I don't have your confidence in that prediction.
The majority of the scoring will graduate.
There seems little to take its place, plus the absence of size.
Every top team is losing a lot besides Oregon:
Mississippi State-losing 4 starters including their top 3 scorers
Baylor-loses AA center Kalani Brown
Louisville-loses Durr/Fuerhing/Carter
Stanford-losing their best player, Smith
Notre Dame-losing 4 starters (maybe 5)
Marquette-graduating five 1000 pt scorers
UCONN returns 4 players who were top 5 recruits and will likely add on a solid grad transfer or 2 since a filled out roster of Bent, Irwin and Coombs isn't going to cut it. No, the roster isn't as good as Oregon's or Baylor's, but they have a lot of proven talent coming back compared to most teams. They'll still be a top 4 team in every preseason poll, likely #3 after Baylor and Oregon.