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One game left. We're far and away #1.
2. Creighton 13-6 (@Nova)
3. Marquette 13-6 (@Xavier)
4. Seton Hall 12-7 (vs. DePaul)
Seton Hall will win.
If Creighton and Marquette both win, Seton Hall is #4.
If Creighton and Marquette both lose, Seton Hall is #4.
If Creighton loses and Marquette wins, Seton Hall is #4.
If Creighton wins and Marquette loses, Marquette is #4. This is the scenario we want to avoid.
For #5, Villanova, St. John's, and Providence are tied at 10-9, and I think none of them control their own destiny, though St. John's has the inside track. St. John's is very likely to beat Georgetown at home. Villanova hosts Creighton. We are at Providence.
If any one of them wins, but the other two lose, they get it.
If all 3 win or lose, it's St. John's.
If St. John's wins, Villanova wins, but Providence loses, it's St. John's.
If St. John's wins, Villanova loses, but Providence wins, it's Providence's.
I think I would prefer SH as the #4 and Nova as the #5, in which case we're rooting for Marquette and Nova to win and for St. John's to lose (unlikely).
2. Creighton 13-6 (@Nova)
3. Marquette 13-6 (@Xavier)
4. Seton Hall 12-7 (vs. DePaul)
Seton Hall will win.
If Creighton and Marquette both win, Seton Hall is #4.
If Creighton and Marquette both lose, Seton Hall is #4.
If Creighton loses and Marquette wins, Seton Hall is #4.
If Creighton wins and Marquette loses, Marquette is #4. This is the scenario we want to avoid.
For #5, Villanova, St. John's, and Providence are tied at 10-9, and I think none of them control their own destiny, though St. John's has the inside track. St. John's is very likely to beat Georgetown at home. Villanova hosts Creighton. We are at Providence.
If any one of them wins, but the other two lose, they get it.
If all 3 win or lose, it's St. John's.
If St. John's wins, Villanova wins, but Providence loses, it's St. John's.
If St. John's wins, Villanova loses, but Providence wins, it's Providence's.
I think I would prefer SH as the #4 and Nova as the #5, in which case we're rooting for Marquette and Nova to win and for St. John's to lose (unlikely).