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Can someone explain to me why joining the Big East (again) would be bad? I don't want a sarcastic answer, I really want to know. This is what I do know, or think I know:
1) I'm not aware of any P5 invitations that are pending or likely. This would obviously be the best result.
2) The AAC is in a tenuous spot because some of its best teams are ripe for raiding--Houston, Memphis and Cincinnati all have decent to good football programs at the moment, and the latter two have historically good hoops programs too (even Houston has Phi Slamma Jamma). Without tracking every rumor, it does seem like two or three of those would be better geographic and athletic fits in the conferences that are most likely to expand. UConn being left in a raided AAC is not viable.
3) The Big East has no football, so you'd have to find a home for that sport or go independent. The rest of the Big East (after Nova) is not as bad as some make it out to be. Seton Hall has improved, Marquette can be good, Butler has been very good over the last decade, Xavier has been good recently, etc. The Big East would be a great home for UConn hoops--back to MSG, regional games (as opposed to our crazy AAC travel schedule), revisiting some old rivalries, etc.
I know P5 is the dream. But it doesn't seem realistic. If it were me, I'd be looking hard at the Big East. Why am I wrong?
There would certainly be (at least short-term) benefits to joining the Big East. It is undoubtedly a superior basketball conference to the American and through three years has represented itself to be on par with other power conferences. More than that, though, is it would greatly enhance viewer experience. It's more fun playing a St. Johns team that sucks at Madison Square Garden than a bad Tulane team in front of 2,000 people. Playing Providence when they are good is a ton of fun. If Seton Hall continues to be good, that'll turn into an intense rivalry. 'Nova and Georgetown speak for themselves. Butler and Xavier have been nationally relevant for a long time. If the league adds UConn and no one else, it's plausible that the double round robin could be maintained, which, as a fan, is awesome.
On the other hand, nobody in the conference has a ton of juice nationally. TV ratings are bad in part because they play on FOX, but even on ESPN, they would lag well behind the other power conferences. They can't fill MSG for their conference tournament with small catholic schools, half of which are from the midwest. Obviously, from a revenue standpoint, they're not near the other leagues.
It makes sense for UConn to remain in the American if no other options present themselves. How much longer it will make sense, I don't know. If we could somehow rake in the TV dollars by joining the B12 as a football-only (I doubt this is likely, but crazier things have been proposed) while docking all our other sports in the Big East, that would be far from the worst outcome.