Maryland at MSG isn't remotely a must win.I'm bullish on this team but the weekend was a failure, we just don't have a ton of wiggle room, Maryland at MSG now becomes a must win.
What games do you see pulling our resume up to "elite". You can't just look at UConn's season through binoculars and ignore the competition. The elite teams nationally all have top ranked conference opponents which will give them top ranked resumes when the selection committee sits down to make seeding. UConn on the other hand has their tough opponents early in the season(who still despite all our scheduling prowess is still weak overall when compared to other overall schedules) with little opportunity to make up for it throughout the season. After Maryland, I'd estimate that UConn has roughly 3, MAYBE 4 ranked games left on the schedule, with those likely being 10-20 range rather than top 10 teams you'd see in a P5 schedule.
Dont forget Louisville in 2014 won the AAC regular season and AAC tournament championship, 25-26 wins, and was probably playing the best basketball of anybody in the country at the end of the season and still ended up with a 4 seed
BigErnMcCracken said:The idea that this team's "ceiling" has been established as a 5 seed at this point in the season is ridiculous. If they're sitting at 29-2 in March they're getting a 5 seed? C'mon, people, do better.
The idea that this team's "ceiling" has been established as a 5 seed at this point in the season is ridiculous. If they're sitting at 29-2 in March they're getting a 5 seed? C'mon, people, do better.
While he is learning KO can also rule out a Providence/Brooklyn to Philadelphia (East Regional) path to the Final4 if championships are on his mind (my preseason expectations with others here). Unfortunately that desired path has more probably than not been burned as KO focuses on the learning curve. No doubt we learned a lot though and hopefully a quick look in the mirror by KO himself helps facilitate the overall progress of the team looking forward. As tight as our team chemistry appeared to be coming into the season... I think some changes are in order that could test that dynamic to a certain degree. My guess is we will be ok.
The Maryland game now becomes a must win. If we drop that game and Ohio State, Georgetown and Texas wind up on the bubble a third place finish in the AAC may send us to the NIT again. It is a painful thought and shows how quickly the "I'm learning about this team as we go..." has the potential to spiral out of control quickly.
I am very disappointed in the 1-2 Atlantis result but am now rooting for MD to beat UNC and for UConn to hand MD its first loss. This reality check certainly is painful.
Who cares - who won it all??????Dont forget Louisville in 2014 won the AAC regular season and AAC tournament championship, 25-26 wins, and was probably playing the best basketball of anybody in the country at the end of the season and still ended up with a 4 seed
Literal ceiling? No. If we get to 29-2, we're a #2 seed regardless of what anyone else does.
But it's a matter of probabilities. Before this tournament, I would say
a 90th percentile outcome: 28-3, #2 seed
a 50th percentile outcome: 26-5, #5 seed
a 10th percentile outcome: 22-9, #10 seed
After this tournament, more like:
a 90th percentile outcome: 27-4, #3 seed
a 50th percentile outcome: 25-6, #7 seed
a 10th percentile outcome: 21-10, NIT
This tournament probably cost us 1-2 seed lines. If we had gone 3-0, it probably would have been a seed line bump the other direction.
Exactly. Miami just lost at home to Northeastern. A lot of teams have WTF losses already. Notre Dame yesterday.I think you are looking at this in a vacuum. You don't know what everyone else is going to do. There are no great teams this year. A lot of teams are going to be taking their lumps.
Yes I know UConn won it all in 2014. But my argument was about seeding and how much work we would have to do in order to get a top 4 seed.Who cares - who won it all??????
This team already can beat anyone on a given night. The problem is, it can also lose to almost anyone too. I think the problem is there's only one ball to go around.I think by March this team will be able to beat anyone on any given night.
The problem is the path to a championship as a 7 seed like in 2014 is so much harder than the path as a 3 or 4 seed, and to be a 3 or 4 seed we'd need a gaudy OOC record.
Some people are just insane.lets just hope Cuse, Zaga end up being top 5 teams at end of season and these losses wont seem so bad.
No it cannot and you have no evidence to demonstrate it can.This team already can beat anyone on a given night. The problem is, it can also lose to almost anyone too. I think the problem is there's only one ball to go around.
Very early to see so many cliff jumpers.
Some people are just insane.
Are you saying losing to a top 10 team on a neutral site by 3 is a bad loss? Or losing to a team by 2 who just won this tournament and beat a very good A&M team to do so is a bad loss?
We played poorly and lost 2 games by a combined 5 points. We blew out a Michigan team who opened the year ranked. No the tournament did not end great but this nonsense about bad losses and Maryland being a must win is just asinine.
It is November. We have a ton of new parts it will take time, we will be fine, nothing to be embarrassed about losing to two goods teams in the final seconds. It happens.