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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 4903915, member: 1329"] Here's how we're looking today before this weekend's last BE games and before the BET. 31. Villanova 17-13 (10-9 BE) Power - #26, Resume - #61 Non-Conf SoS - #78 Away/Neutral: 7-9 Q1: 4-8 (1A 2-5), N-North Carolina, @-Creighton, N-Texas Tech, @-Providence Q2: 6-2 Top 2: 10-10 Q3+Q4 losses: 3, H-St. Joe's, N-Drexel, @-Penn Wins Under Consideration: 6-7 (11-6 rest) BracketMatrix - 10 seed (#40) Remaining schedule - H-Creighton Thoughts: Improved their metrics by a couple spots mostly with their win at Providence. Up 8 spots in a week in Bracket Matrix, which is wild for a 1-1 week since my last update. Fairly safely in according to that, but potentially 15 losses on Selection Sunday still makes me nervous for them. Tough game left, but at least at home. Win and they're in. Lose and they may need to win quarters game (likely against Marquette or Seton Hall) 37. St. John's 18-12 (10-9 BE) Power - #29, Resume - #57 Non-Conf SoS - #182 Away/Neutral: 7-8 Q1: 4-9 (1A 2-6), H-Creighton, @-Villanova @-Butler, N-Utah Q2: 5-2 Top 2: 9-11 Q3+Q4 losses: 1, H-Michigan Wins Under Consideration: 5-9 (12-3 non) BracketMatrix - 11 seed, Last four in (#43) Remaining schedule - H-GTown Thoughts: Torvik loves St. John's, but KPI hates them. Unfortunately Torvik isn't on the committee teamsheet but KPI is. Similar to Villanova in terms of gap between predictive metrics and resume metrics. St. John's need to keep rooting for Villanova considering their sweep. Likely 5 seed in BET with matchup against Seton Hall or Marquette, both would be winnable games that would likely shore up a bid. 61. Providence 19-11 (10-9 BE) Power - #59, Resume - #59 Non-Conf SoS - #252 Away/Neutral: 5-8 Q1: 5-8 (2-5), H-Marquette, H-Creighton, H-Wisconsin, @-Seton Hall, @-Xavier Q2: 2-3 Top 2: 7-11 Q3+Q4 losses: 0 Wins Under Consideration: 5-8 (13-2 non) BracketMatrix - First four out (#47) Remaining schedule - H-UConn Thoughts: Dropped 5 spots in the NET and 11 spots in the resume average after their double digit loss to Nova at home in a slow possession game. Even lost a Q2 win with Georgia falling out of top 100 NET. I would be surprised if they weren't on the wrong side of the bubble right now. BracketMatrix moved them from last four in to first four out. Winning against UConn would certainly go along way to putting them in, and then they'll get either Butler+UConn or Gtown+Creighton in BET. Feels like 2 more wins gets them in. 63. Seton Hall 19-11 (12-7) Power - #59, Resume - #44 Non-Conf SoS - #222 Away/Neutral: 6-8 Q1: 5-7 (1A 3-6), H-UConn, H-Marquette, @-St. John's, @-Providence, @-Butler Q2: 4-3 Top 2: 9-10 Q3+Q4 losses: 1, H-Rutgers Wins Under Consideration: 6-8 (13-3 non) BracketMatrix - 11 seed, Last four in (#42) Remaining schedule - H-DePaul Thoughts - Removed a bad loss as USC has moved up a bit, but it's still tenuous. Stayed in the same spot in BracketMatrix over the last week. 5-7 Q1 wins is very strong for the bubble and potentially 6 if Nova moves slightly up again. Resume looks pretty good to me. Auto-win left, just need to avoid the funniest thing. They will likely be in a bubble off in BET quarters with St Johns or Nova again. 65. Butler 18-13 (9-11 BE) Power - #66, Resume - #61 Non-Conf SoS - #87 Away/Neutral: 6-8 Q1: 4-11 (1A 2-6), @-Marquette, @-Creighton, N-Boise State, H-Villanova Q2: 4-2 Top 2 8-13 Q3+Q4 losses: 0 Wins Under Consideration: 6-12 (12-1 non) BracketMatrix - Off bubble Remaining schedule - None until BET. Thoughts: They're still pretty far away. Q1 win % is bad. Predictives aren't great. They're going to need to win at least 2 maybe 3 games in BET. For comparison, here's the last non-Big East team currently in the field by BracketMatrix. 26. New Mexico 22-8 (10-7) Power - #36, Resume - #48 Non-Conf SoS - #268 Away/Neutral: 8-8 Q1: 2-5 (1A 1-4), @-Nevada, H-San Diego St Q2: 4-1 Top 2: 6-6 Q3+Q4 losses: 2, H-UNLV, H-Air Force Wins Under Consideration: 6-6 (16-2 non) BracketMatrix - Last in (#44) Remaining schedule - @-Utah State [/QUOTE]

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