Barttorvik Big East Forecast

[Tiamat7]

I don't know their algorithm, but it may be underrating St John's (85th) and Butler (81).

Nova 13
UConn 18
Xavier 19
Seton Hall 33
Providence 48

Complete ranking:

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barttorvik.com

 

[auror]

This is another fun chart on there.

 

[husky429]

I don't know their algorithm, but it may be underrating St John's (85th) and Butler (81).

Nova 13
UConn 18
Xavier 19
Seton Hall 33
Providence 48

Complete ranking:

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barttorvik.com

Only 1 team outside the top 100... and barely. Refreshing.

This league is tough though. We've got 5 teams that can beat anyone on the right night. Need these freshman to stay vigilant.

 

[SeattleHoop]

This doesn’t even have AJ as a top 10 contributor on the team. Also has RJ as averaging 15ppg. I think the ppg is going to be more evenly distributed than that personally. Definitely flawed

 

[navery12]

This doesn’t even have AJ as a top 10 contributor on the team. Also has RJ as averaging 15ppg. I think the ppg is going to be more evenly distributed than that personally. Definitely flawed

He averaged 14 points a game last year while Bouknight was out, I'd be pretty surprised if he was below 15. That's a reasonable number even with scoring distributed, unless you're expecting 6-7 guys all around 10 PPG

 

[SeattleHoop]

He averaged 14 points a game last year while Bouknight was out, I'd be pretty surprised if he was below 15. That's a reasonable number even with scoring distributed, unless you're expecting 6-7 guys all around 10 PPG

Yeah I get what you are saying but I personally believe his PPG are going to dip and his APG will increase. I think other players will contribute more PPGs next season that weren’t last season and it will be more evenly distributed. We will see. Either way it’s good.

 

[imno1]

This doesn’t even have AJ as a top 10 contributor on the team. Also has RJ as averaging 15ppg. I think the ppg is going to be more evenly distributed than that personally. Definitely flawed

Unless hurt I don't see any scenario where Sanogo averages less than 6 pg. Even with low minutes at the start of the season Hawkins can average more than 3.6 in his sleep.

 

[Kenny11]

This doesn’t even have AJ as a top 10 contributor on the team. Also has RJ as averaging 15ppg. I think the ppg is going to be more evenly distributed than that personally. Definitely flawed

That’s when algorithms are not very useful. Andre battled an injury, a bunch of covid stops and starts and a late start to the season. Such a strange freshman year. I don’t know if he can shoot or not yet, but he’s going to very a big contributor regardless.

 

[Jbirdp5]

Unless hurt I don't see any scenario where Sanogo averages less than 6 pg. Even with low minutes at the start of the season Hawkins can average more than 3.6 in his sleep.

Agree can’t see sanogo averaging 5 ppg. Martin also seems to be valued by others a lot more than he is in the yard.

 

[auror]

Don't get caught up on the minutes and points projections. Those things will equal out. Someone's points will be higher, but that means someone else's will be lower.

Sanogo's PPG is based on his minutes, which is set at only 36% (15 mpg). He's listed with a high usage and decent efficiency. Likely Sanogo will get a bunch of those Polley minutes and probably some of the Akok minutes, too, and average over 10ppg. It's hard to project our minutes because we have a lot of pretty similar quality depth (most talented players are younger, but the less talented players are more experienced and further developed). Coach Hurley himself is going to have an impossible job setting the rotation.

But the flat ability level means the projection should hold fairly steady despite having errors in the minutes allocation projection.

 

[Colin G]

The fact that this model is WILDLY underestimating some guys (Sanogo, AJAX,hawk) while mildly overestimating others (Martin, Cole) and we still are sitting at #2 is something to be happy about