Are any of the "Experts" picking us to win it all?

[dogpause]

Anyone?
Are any of them picking us to beat Kansas?

 

[tzznandrew]

Major experts: no.

One SI guy picked us to beat Kansas.

Any expert who picked us to win the whole thing would have to be pretty bold or pretty dumb. That said, from what I've read we're been picked to win as much as some of the 5 seeds by the fans as a whole.

 

[J187Money]

I have $200 on us to win at 25:1 - back from October.

 

[upstater]

Can you show me first an expert that has UConn beating Colorado?

Why would an expert have UConn beating Kansas if almost everyone has UConn losing to Colorado?

 

[superjohn]

A few posters here seem to be thinking we aren't getting any respect. We are a #9 seed that was likely missing the tourny without Jalen's 65 footer. Granted we look like a different team the past 2.5 games but it is what it is.

 

[HuskyHawk]

Can you show me first an expert that has UConn beating Colorado?

Why would an expert have UConn beating Kansas if almost everyone has UConn losing to Colorado?

Except the experts that matter in Vegas and the actual fans (UConn getting 75% in Yahoo brackets). These network and magazine guys don't watch any non P5 games.

 

[kobebeanbryant]

I have $200 on us to win at 25:1 - back from October.

i just threw $100 at 50-1 yesterday

 

[tzznandrew]

Can you show me first an expert that has UConn beating Colorado?

Why would an expert have UConn beating Kansas if almost everyone has UConn losing to Colorado?

Almost all of these guys do:

http://www.si.com/college-basketball/2016/03/14/2016-ncaa-tournament-bracket-expert-picks

I can't find a summary of other selections.

 

[Penfield]

I don’t need anybody’s experts. It’s nice. I don’t need anybody’s experts. I’m using my own experts. I’m not using the bracketologists. I’m not using advanced metrics. I don’t care. I’m really smart, I’ll show you that in a second. And by the way, I’m not even saying that in a braggadocios … that’s the kind of thinking you need for this bracket.

 

[Husky25]

In the last 31, The #1 seeds have missed the Sweet Sixteen only 17 times That is an .863 win percentage (107/124). Only 2 #9 seeds have reached the Elite 8 and one made the Championship Game...but Fv<k it. Only one other 7 seed made the Final 4 before UConn in 2014, so DO IT AGAIN, BOYS!!

 

[BigErnMcCracken]

Can you show me first an expert that has UConn beating Colorado?

There is a laundry list of pundits online picking UConn over Colorado. There are at least 7 or 8 on SI's site alone.

And anyway, anyone picking UConn to win the national championship based on their run to the AAC title would look pretty dumb.

 

[Uconn77Duke74]

Curious what a $100.00 annual bet on UConn to win it all would have paid out as an vestment over the last 20 years given that years odds.

 

[upstater]

Almost all of these guys do:

http://www.si.com/college-basketball/2016/03/14/2016-ncaa-tournament-bracket-expert-picks

I can't find a summary of other selections.

Yeah, only 3 of them picked Colorado. From watching TV (not that much) I saw many picking Colorado on ESPN and CBS.

 

[tzznandrew]

A few posters here seem to be thinking we aren't getting any respect. We are a #9 seed that was likely missing the tourny without Jalen's 65 footer. Granted we look like a different team the past 2.5 games but it is what it is.

^^^Almost all of this.^^^

Let's be clear: a first round win is going to make the tournament a success. From 1985 to now, the expected wins in the tournament for a 9 is 0.58. One win is overperforming against seed expectations. Let me repeat: beating Colorado is already overachieving.

If we expand it to 8/9s

Year: 8/9s who beat the 1 - wins after beating the 1:
1985: 8 Villanova - 4 (Champs)
1986: 8 Auburn - 1 (E8)
1990: 8 UNC - 0 (S16)
1992: 9 UTEP - 0 (S16) (vs. 1 Kansas)
1994: 9 Boston College - 1 (E8)
1996: 8 Georgia - 0 (S16)
1998: 8 Rhode Island - 1 (E8) (vs. 1 Kansas)
2000: 8 UNC - 2 (FF)
2000: 8 Wisconsin - 2 (FF)
2002: 8 UCLA - 0 (S16)
2004: 9 UAB - 0 (S16)
2004: 8 Alabama - 1 (E8)
2010: 9 Northern Iowa - 0 (S16) (vs. 1 Kansas)
2011: 8 Butler - 3 (Runner-up)
2013: 9 Wichita State - 2 (FF)
2014: 8 Kentucky - 3 (Runner-up)
2015: 8 NC State - 0 (S16)
-------------------------------------
There have been 31 tournaments since the expansion of the NCAAs to 64 teams. In those 31 tournaments, there have been 248 8 or 9 seeds, and 124 matchups between the 1 seed and the 8/9. The 8/9 seed is 17/124 in that matchup: a 13.7% winning percentage. The teams that do win, only win an average of 1.17 games beyond the upset.

Further, of those scant 17 wins, only 5/17 wins have come from the 9 seed, and only 2 of those 5 have won another game beyond that.

That said, in 2 of the last 3 NCAAs, a Final Four participant has come out of that spot.

Beat Colorado, and maybe we can be the odds. But the odds say we're doomed.

 

[Husky25]

I'd "like" you post, Andrew, but who's to say that you didn't read my post 4 above yours and just invert the numbers while using more words?

Ahh, sheeiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiitttttttttttttttttttttt, I'll throw you a "like" anyway.

 

[tzznandrew]

I'd "like" you post, Andrew, but who's to say that you didn't read my post 4 above yours and just invert the numbers while using more words?

Ahh, sheeiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiitttttttttttttttttttttt, I'll throw you a "like" anyway.

Ha! It sadly took me a lot longer than the 19 minutes to gather all that and type it out.

Wish I just saw yours and let it stand.

 

[husky99]

Why would,they? We had a half ass season with a nice aac run.

 

[James]

Courant releases an article today comparing us to Wichita in 2013. not a bad comp when you look at the rosters, a few long shot NBA prospects ( early = Hamilton?) as well as a star freshman and grizzled transfer(uconn has two). Oh and a super feisty coach who just won his conference tourney

 

[EdgewoodNHV]

I'm not. I would love to be wrong -- and have been wrong in the past. But Kansas is a brutal draw for us and I'd like our chances against any other No. 1 seed better. I'll gladly sacrifice my bracket for another UConn victory, but when it comes to money, I play with my head, not my heart.

 

[tzznandrew]

Courant releases an article today comparing us to Wichita in 2013. not a bad comp when you look at the rosters, a few long shot NBA prospects ( early = Hamilton?) as well as a star freshman and grizzled transfer(uconn has two). Oh and a super feisty coach who just won his conference tourney

Kansas >>>>>>> 2013 Gonzaga, though.

DOOOOOOOOOOOOOMED!

 

[Silk31]

Not a soul picked us to win as a 7 seed in 2014 so why would anyone pick us as a 9 seed this year in the so called "Region of Doom"?

 

[James]

Kansas >>>>>>> 2013 Gonzaga, though.

DOOOOOOOOOOOOOMED!

True they are better defensively , and it's debatable offensively who wins out there . However what's not debatable is olynyk would be the best player on the floor in any theoretic matchup. Kansas doesn't have any sure fire NBA players , so it's hard for me to look at them as a historically great 1 seed. I mean how often does that happen ?

 

[ucp990411]

I think I am an expert and I am picking us. True story. In 1999 I picked us to win with a final of 75-74 over Duke. 5.2 seconds to go Khalid is at the line. I am in the Tropicana Dome and I turn to my brother and say do I want him to make them. Screw the pool, make the free throws. He makes them and I win the pool. I made $1200. Nice. Of course I then cried like a baby.

 

[James]

Other team efficiency stuff for uconn. Would bet they end up on there for defensive ppp

 

[HuskyFich]

Almost all of these guys do:

http://www.si.com/college-basketball/2016/03/14/2016-ncaa-tournament-bracket-expert-picks

I can't find a summary of other selections.

The last guy, Ryan Krasnoo, has us going to the elite 8 and losing to Miami. BOLD