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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 2857618, member: 1329"] Good post. The schedule, as far as wins is concerned, is VERY favorable. It's hard to overstate that. I've been leading the charge of "We might make the NCAA tournament but nobody should EXPECT to given what the team was last year", and even I have to think it'll be hard for us not to win 18-22 games. The problem, of course, is that unless we then win MOST of those favorable games and take care of the cupcakes, we're not going dancing considering the expected strength of the conference. We had 10 KenPom 'A' rank games last year (and lost all 10). We'll probably only have 5-7 such games this year with around the same number of 'B' games as last year (6). Likely Q1 rank games: Neutral vs. Villanova Neutral vs. Syracuse Neutral vs. Iowa/Oregon (possibly Q2) Neutral vs. Florida St @ Cincy @ UCF Likely Q2 rank games: Home vs. Arizona Home vs. UCF @ Temple @ Memphis Home vs. Houston @ SMU @ Wichita St A major conference bubble team (like for example Syracuse a last year) can have 10-15 or so 'A' games and the same amount of 'B' games. Syracuse had 15 and 10 respectively. Syraucse went 6-9 in the 'A' games, but it's the 6 wins that sticks with the committee. Only playing 6, we're going to need to win a majority of them, which is a problem because none of them are at home. Let's hope "Storrs South" is real. [/QUOTE]