Alex Karaban Prospect Overview (No Ceilings) | The Boneyard

Alex Karaban Prospect Overview (No Ceilings)

Joined
Mar 20, 2016
Messages
1,671
Reaction Score
14,951
Some good stuff about AK here. I think a 6’8” shooter who is a connective passer, good decision maker, and solid help defender will find his role in the NBA and give us one more Husky to cheer on -at the next level for another decade or so.

 
Joined
Oct 26, 2018
Messages
7,090
Reaction Score
24,928
idk if he's played himself into the 1st round yet as many hoped. i see one mock with him end of 1st.
 
Joined
Dec 27, 2011
Messages
324
Reaction Score
2,436
idk if he's played himself into the 1st round yet as many hoped. i see one mock with him end of 1st.
This article sees him as a lottery level talent, so obviously they see something. I don't think Karaban needs to be a dominant college player to be a first round pick. Teams will want a 6'8" shooter with leadership qualities and passing ability. I personally don't think he'll go in the lottery, but I think he's likely a late first round pick. Low ceiling, high floor type of player.
 
Joined
Feb 12, 2024
Messages
63
Reaction Score
226
Would I draft him at #1? No shot. Would I draft him in the late 20's early 30's? Maybe. I think Karaban has the potential to play in the NBA for a long time. I'd love to see him be knocking down his 3's at a higher percentage. I think he could develop into a Hauser type of player. A solid bench scorer on a competitive team. I wouldn't expect him to be a starter if ever but he could end up having a very nice career for himself.
 
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
10,590
Reaction Score
35,619
idk if he's played himself into the 1st round yet as many hoped. i see one mock with him end of 1st.
ESPN, BR, CBS Sports, and The Athletic have him mocked first round, obviously still months to go tho




 
Joined
Aug 27, 2011
Messages
16,542
Reaction Score
37,511
He's in a weird spot because he's a low-ceiling, high-floor glue guy who a veteran, contending team would want to slot in as a rotation piece on Day 1, while a rebuilding team wants to take a chance on a guy who could be the next superstar.

That screams late 1st, and it just takes one team who's interested.
 
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
3,296
Reaction Score
10,093
At this point we know what he is. He’s a high IQ, great teammate, shooter, connecting player. He’s not a take charge and win a game 1/1.

I would think he’s the perfect guy to play on a contender with some high octane guys. He makes the right play, sets up his teammates and can deliver a clutch shot, but doesn’t care about personal stats..just winning.

The better players he is with, the more his skills are demonstrated
 
Joined
Feb 10, 2013
Messages
6,210
Reaction Score
58,143
He's in a weird spot because he's a low-ceiling, high-floor glue guy who a veteran, contending team would want to slot in as a rotation piece on Day 1, while a rebuilding team wants to take a chance on a guy who could be the next superstar.

That screams late 1st, and it just takes one team who's interested.
He's a star in his role – shooter, cutter, connective passer, help defender, surprisingly good rim protector – and the role he's playing for us is the role he'd play for any halfway intelligent team in the league. If he's there when my Celtics pick, I will pray to every deity imaginable that they take him.

I doubt he drops out of the first round.
 
Joined
Aug 27, 2011
Messages
16,542
Reaction Score
37,511
Late 1st/Early 2nd I'd think. Sounds weird to say considering that, but I don't think he's really helped his stock all that much. He is who he is. And on the right team, that is a very valuable piece.
The thing is, "late 1st/early 2nd" doesn't actually make a lot of sense, it's more like "late 1st/undrafted" because the teams picking early 2nd are usually bad teams who want a high-risk/high-reward pick. I guess there could be contending teams who accidentally end up with early 2nd round picks but, like, is a team like New Orleans going to want him?
 
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
10,590
Reaction Score
35,619
The thing is, "late 1st/early 2nd" doesn't actually make a lot of sense, it's more like "late 1st/undrafted" because the teams picking early 2nd are usually bad teams who want a high-risk/high-reward pick. I guess there could be contending teams who accidentally end up with early 2nd round picks but, like, is a team like New Orleans going to want him?
2nd picks are traded very easily and with the new CBA they're becoming more valuable for teams looking for role players on cheaper contracts that can potentially contribute right away. AJ was the perfect example of this with his draft rights being traded to a contending team, and the higher 2nd round picks usually land guaranteed deals up to 2 years(4 years in total, non guaranteed). If AK doesn't go 1st round then he will get a deal similar to what AJ got, Hurley said it was already on the table for him in the last draft cycle before he decided to return.
 
Joined
Sep 16, 2011
Messages
50,690
Reaction Score
180,002
He looks a lot like he did last year which is a great connector player. I was hoping he would make a jump with putting it on the floor and become a go to scorer without relying on the three. Every once in a blue moon he shows flashes of it like when he had that nice backdown for a hook against Providence but I'm wondering where that guy is who hit those late game off the dribble fadeaways against Texas last season. He's improved his timing on D with the swats but he still kind of gets abused when people put it on the floor against him. I'm worried about him guarding Dixon.
 
Joined
Mar 29, 2013
Messages
1,544
Reaction Score
10,403
He looks a lot like he did last year which is a great connector player. I was hoping he would make a jump with putting it on the floor and become a go to scorer without relying on the three. Every once in a blue moon he shows flashes of it like when he had that nice backdown for a hook against Providence but I'm wondering where that guy is who hit those late game off the dribble fadeaways against Texas last season. He's improved his timing on D with the swats but he still kind of gets abused when people put it on the floor against him. I'm worried about him guarding Dixon.
I agree with you, but I honestly don't think he's really tried to assert himself yet, and that is probably partially due to his own personality and partially due to Hurley. I think both Hurley and Karaban know that they need the pieces around him to get MUCH better over the next 3 months for us to have a shot at a threepeat. We could get Alex 20 shots a game and maybe we'd have better stats, but if we can get the pieces around him (Mahaney, Stewart, Ball, etc) to get better it will open things up more for AK and make the whole team better. He's always been a team first guy and I don't see that changing.
 
Joined
Aug 29, 2011
Messages
4,057
Reaction Score
14,004
The thing is, "late 1st/early 2nd" doesn't actually make a lot of sense, it's more like "late 1st/undrafted" because the teams picking early 2nd are usually bad teams who want a high-risk/high-reward pick. I guess there could be contending teams who accidentally end up with early 2nd round picks but, like, is a team like New Orleans going to want him?

2nd round picks are traded very frequently so you can see good teams draft high in the 2nd
 

Huskyforlife

Akokbouk
Joined
Feb 19, 2013
Messages
12,666
Reaction Score
52,561
I'd assume he's somewhere in the late first round right now. Some contender should scoop him up as a cheap 8th or 9th man day 1.
 
Joined
Aug 17, 2011
Messages
16,236
Reaction Score
92,186
I think 2nd round or UFA
That's pretty far off every mock draft out there. Who knows, you may end up being right but are you just trying to throw out a hot take so if the unexpected happens you can say you were right? Seems to be a trend these days on social media.
 
Joined
Jul 16, 2022
Messages
2,977
Reaction Score
20,934
I honestly don’t think he’s done too much to increase his draft stock (yet). Averaging 3 more points on half a shot attempt and 1 extra FT per game

I’m assuming the NBA draft process feedback was for him to prove that he can create his own offense. Other than adding a nice floater to his game, I haven’t seen that this year (yet)

So his draft profile is the same as it was last year. High IQ sharp shooting big that is more plug and play than ball dominant. Just 1 year older

Late first/early 2nd round for a contender sounds about right for now
 
Last edited:
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
10,590
Reaction Score
35,619
I honestly don’t think he’s done too much to increase his draft stock (yet). Averaging 3 more points on 1 more shot per game on half a shot attempt and 1 extra FT per game

I’m assuming the NBA draft process feedback was for him to prove that he can create his own offense. Other than adding a nice floater to his game, I haven’t seen that this year (yet)

So his draft profile is the same as it was last year. High IQ sharp shooting big that is more plug and play than ball dominant. Just 1 year older

Late first/early 2nd round for a contender sounds about right for now
one of the areas he highlighted when doing interviews after he came back was scouts told him they wanted to see more movement shooting from the 3 point line and he's definitely shown improvement in that area.
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2019
Messages
506
Reaction Score
2,382
I honestly don’t think he’s done too much to increase his draft stock (yet). Averaging 3 more points on half a shot attempt and 1 extra FT per game

I’m assuming the NBA draft process feedback was for him to prove that he can create his own offense. Other than adding a nice floater to his game, I haven’t seen that this year (yet)

So his draft profile is the same as it was last year. High IQ sharp shooting big that is more plug and play than ball dominant. Just 1 year older

Late first/early 2nd round for a contender sounds about right for now
I was hoping for him to find some new ways to score too, but I think he's done pretty well improving some of the other areas of his game, which might help him.

His assist rate is up pretty significantly from last year on increased usage (albeit slightly increased turnover rate too) which I think will help him a bit.

His defensive metrics have basically all seen some improvement too, and it's shown with how frequently he's been blocking shots. I certainly feel a lot more comfortable with him defending inside the paint than in previous years.
 

nomar

#1 Casual Fan™
Joined
Aug 27, 2011
Messages
16,254
Reaction Score
47,096
Some good stuff about AK here. I think a 6’8” shooter who is a connective passer, good decision maker, and solid help defender will find his role in the NBA and give us one more Husky to cheer on -at the next level for another decade or so.


Maybe a weird comp and don't throw rotten fruit at me, but when I hear 6'8" connector, I think Shane Battier. AK probably has less defensive upside but more offensive upside.

Battier was the kind of guy for whom stats didn't tell the story. Hockey assists, tips/positioning that resulted in team rebounds rather than personal rebounds, etc. Teams value that.
 
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
10,590
Reaction Score
35,619
Maybe a weird comp and don't throw rotten fruit at me, but when I hear 6'8" connector, I think Shane Battier. AK probably has less defensive upside but more offensive upside.

Battier was the kind of guy for whom stats didn't tell the story. Hockey assists, tips/positioning that resulted in team rebounds rather than personal rebounds, etc. Teams value that.
I like the Georges Niang comparisons, Niang handled the ball more and was tasked with more creation at Iowa State but he's not being asked to do that in the pros. I can see AK filling a similar role as Niang who has been a 20mpg game guy in the league for like 5 seasons now as a floor spacer and connective piece doing the stuff you mentioned.
 

Online statistics

Members online
123
Guests online
1,849
Total visitors
1,972

Forum statistics

Threads
160,702
Messages
4,239,486
Members
10,094
Latest member
Verna


.
Top Bottom