I think if he had gone elsewhere, there's a pretty decent he wasn't a lottery pick as a freshman, yeah. This is assuming he still gets hurt in the year. Practically, UConn just straight up played more games and he wasn't required to be a focal point since UConn was loaded, which was helpful since he was recovering from his injury. His season may have gone like McNeeley's where he was having to take a big offensive burden after returning quickly from an injury while playing the toughest part of the schedule. It really hurt McNeeley's efficiency.
And in general, if he's taking a higher usage in the offense, it likely leads to more dribble jumpers, which he took a lot of in high school. He doesn't make them at a high rate. Maybe he's able to get downhill more in a different offense and he showcases some different skills. But there's also a good chance if he's higher on the offensive pecking order he doesn't get/have to guard the toughest defensive assignments and he doesn't get the reputation as a lockdown defender, which greatly boosted his stock.