Tulane lost key starters including Vorpahl, and they didn't even make the tournament last year due to bad losses down the stretch of conference play.
USF was a tournament team and gets all but one starter back from last year, plus Ferreira (a two-year starter who sat last year with injury) and Alba Prieto (a well-regarded point guard from Spain).
The team that got underrated in the coaches' poll is UCF. They get almost everyone back (including 1st-Team all-AAC pick Aliyah Gregory) from a team that finished last year on a tear, winning 7 of their last 8 conference games against teams other than UConn, including a win over USF and two wins over Tulane. They also won a game in the WNIT before losing in the 2nd round at Georgia Tech in a game that was close until the final. This team will make some noise this year.
Even before the unfortunate ACL injury to Alliya Butts, I would've had UCF ahead of Temple, and now even more so.