If we can meet or exceed what the AAC is paying then that could be the end of the AAC if some of these other schools can find a place to park the other sports.
None of the schools in the conference can make independence work. What basketball league would Cincy, Memphis, or Houston park basketball in? How much (little) money would they get from playing in said league? How much would that hurt the ability to be competitive and profitability of their MBB programs. That would be a lot of lost money there in tv rev and attendance and tourney credits and offset any savings in travel or gains of having a separate TV deal. UCF and USF have irrelevant MBB programs but what network is going to pony up $5-7 million a year for 6 UCF football games? And they'd likely lose out on the ability to make a New Year's Six bowl so it would destroy their recruiting and again destroy the AD. Then the dregs Tulane, Tulsa, ECU, SMU have reached their peak in the AAC and have no where to go except drop sports altogether.
Theres a reason no national writer gets the story of UConn correct...it's because it is incredibly unique from anyone else in the college sports landscape. No one else has or had a Big East invite sitting on the backburner, sitting outside the P5, with enough brand recognition regionally to bring in attract opponents to boost attendance. UConn has a great opportunity to return to the best run we've seen in the AD history from 2004-2012 where MBB, WBB, and FB thrived. Let's hope it comes to fruition.