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Message: [QUOTE="OkaForPrez, post: 4772423, member: 997"] I expect the Big East to be a blood bath this year. There is potentially 7 NCAA tourney teams in our 11 team conference. Marquette, Creighton, and UConn look like Locks. I would be extremely surprised if Villanova and St. Johns don't make it. Providence has a coaching "?" and Xavier has a roster turnover "?" but neither would surprise to end up in the field. As a result, the early nonconference is critically important in establishing that this is in fact a murders row so we don't destroy each others seedlines as we knock each other off at home. So how do we look going in against other notable teams? I'm using KenPom, I know its limitations in the preseason. But at least there's a method to his approach and its the best I have to work with. I've assumed a 20 rank advantage in a matchup to be an expected win, a 2 rank disadvantage to be an expected loss, and everything in between to be a toss up. I'm sure I've overlooked a mid major who deserves to be on this list. I'm sure we'll see an ugly loss from the bottom of the conference. But looking purely at the big matchups here's how it shakes out: [ATTACH type="full" alt="ScheduleAnalysis.png"]92512[/ATTACH] A lot is riding on UConn, Marquette and Villanova. We've all scheduled tough and will carry a lot of the water. Creighton's schedule is really smart. Strong enough wins on paper but safe. The bottom of the conference has taken on more than it can handle. Yes that's to be expected from their position but they've really put themselves in a spot. And of course this doesn't include games not on the scheudle for MTE's. We're going to need to 12-8 in the toss ups just to break even. Fun time of year to root for our conference brethren. [/QUOTE]

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