From what I understand the divisions begining in 2015 are East: UConn, Cincy, UCF, USF, Temple, ECU - West: Tulane, Tulsa, Houston, SMU, Navy, Memphis.
We will play all five in our division (USF, ECU home - @ Cincy, @ UCF, @ Temple) and three across divisions. I have heard for quite some time (and may have even read somewhere but don't recall where) that Navy is playing here next season. As we've already faced Tulane, SMU (twice) and Memphis (twice) all years each has been in this conference, my guess is that we will face Houston and Tulsa (one home, one road) to fill out our conference slate.
We have road games with Missouri and BYU next season so realistically, 2-2 out of conference is the best we can reasonably expect (but I will state that losses to either Army at home or Nova will be major setbacks). After that, USF at home, the home game (we still haven't demonstrated much as a road team) against Tulsa/Houston and the trip to Temple are the only games where I don't see a win as a long shot (barring some player development miracle at OL and QB). I'm not sure that challenging the players sufficiently is an issue and if we only win 3, 4 or 5 games in 2015 it is very possible that progress (towards what we will end up wanting to acheive) could be made.
Tell me, from the proposed above schedule (yes, the conference schedule may end up being slightly different) what would you view as acceptable progress?