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[QUOTE="BFieldHusky, post: 2965479, member: 2154"]
I think this number is pretty accurate. It may be 13-14 depending on how the bubble looks, but this is def the range.

In looking at our games in conference, UConn has to avoid the bad loss. They need to sweep USF, East Carolina and Tulane. There is 5 wins right there.

The next group is the middle group of the conference. We have H/H with SMU and Witchia State, with road games at Tulsa and at Memphis. Ideally you split on the road, and pick up 2 home wins here. That give you 4 wins out of this group, and 9 conference wins.

Then then top tier teams [USER=168]@tzznandrew[/USER] was talking about. Houston, Cincinnati, UCF and Temple. H/H with everyone except Houston, who play at home. We have 7 games here. Even if you just win your home games, thats 4 wins and 13 conference wins.

This would put us firmly on the bubble with 22-23 wins depending on what happens Saturday. Win a game or two in the American and we should be in.

Beating Villanova Saturday would give us a little wiggle room here.
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