You think so? Last year they won it all and were a three- why would they be a 4-5 if they did the same this year. They would have a six game win streak, better than most BCS schools in the tourney.
tznandrew's breakdown is probably somewhere in the ballpark. The difference last year is they had a lot of OOC and conference signature wins. Their 5 Ws in 5 Days over a bunch of tournament teams validated how good some thought UConn really was or at least could be. Well in the end their seeding turned out to be higher (as is worse) than it should have been.
As for this season, the team really doesn't have many signature wins. The only ranked teams they beat all season long was FSU (#20 at the time), Harvard (#24) and ND (not ranked at the time but now ranked #23). They just won back-to-back games for the first time since mid January and haven't won 3 in a row since December. Now I realize that we have a very high RPI due to having the the #3 SOS in the nation. Based on past selection committees, teams with RPIs as high as UConn #34, usually get in. Most years we'd be still sweating our bid out, but the field this year is simply really really bad. The bubble is huge and weak. Let's just hope the committee doesn't jump on board the Husky Haters Bandwagon and sour on UConn when they see that inability to win back-to-back games for over the past month plus, a 6-11 record in their last 17 regular season games and not one of their 6 wins during that stretch were against ranked teams (well the ND W was during that stretch but the weren't ranked at the time). What probably helps is all the close Ls during that stretch, 6 by 4 or less points.
Win tomorrow against WVU and we won't have to worry about not getting in. Beat WVU, I'm still not going to feel all that confident that this team can string many NCAA Ws together. Beat SU, then my confidence will to through the roof. It's not that our Huskies don't have talent. They have a lot of talented players. It's they just haven't played well as a team or executed well on either end of the floor. But all this can change if they can string together 3 to 5 BET Ws. Win 3, and a S-16, depending on what seed and match-up they they get, is not that crazy. Win 4, I can become an E-8 begins believer. Win 5 BET games in a row, plus the memories of last year's 11 game run, and I'm looking for -4 and beyond bandwagon.
I'd like say I believe in the latter part of that last paragraph, but I'm finding it hard to shake the memories of the past couple months and some of the bad habits I still saw them doing in the DePaul game.
