2025 Bowl Predictions | Page 16 | The Boneyard

2025 Bowl Predictions

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Well, as long as North Texas (up 35-7 on Temple as I type this), South Florida (a 28-point favorite tomorrow over Rice), BYU (an 18.5-point favorite over UCF), and UTSA (a 7-point favorite over Army) all win, we won't need to dig any deeper into the other six games on this list to know if UConn is guaranteed a bid. I think we're in solid shape overall. Only a couple of those other six games are longshots (ULM and Oregon State), and the rest are competitively balanced on paper. Most likely there will be one or two 5-7 teams that get invited to bowls this year.
 
GampelGladiator said:
Less UConn fans to attend bowl game? Yes

Less UConn season ticket holders to renew by December 3? Yes

These answers are based on a source I trust who is in the know.
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Just to be sure…you have a source who has confirmed that fewer fans will attend a bowl game that we have not been invited and we do not know where it is or who we are playing? Is that based on ticket sales so far for said game?
 
Huskygrad88 said:
Just to be sure…you have a source who has confirmed that fewer fans will attend a bowl game that we have not been invited and we do not know where it is or who we are playing? Is that based on ticket sales so far for said game?
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My bad...I was being sarcastic...my intended joke was that both would be less because I'm going to pass on the bowl and early renewal...therefore I was my source...

Having said that...it stands to reason that Mora's departure will lead to a drop in both...the degree to which is of course to be determined.

Same for the portal...there would be players entering portal no matter what...but stands to reason that there will be more players in portal now that their head coach has left.
 
GampelGladiator said:
My bad...I was being sarcastic...my intended joke was that both would be less because I'm going to pass on the bowl and early renewal...therefore I was my source...

Having said that...it stands to reason that Mora's departure will lead to a drop in both...the degree to which is of course to be determined.

Same for the portal...there would be players entering portal no matter what...but stands to reason that there will be more players in portal now that their head coach has left.
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I think that those are reasonable assumptions that the athletic department might consider valid as secondary drivers if a replacement is not named quickly. But I think venue and opponent would be much bigger drivers. And I rather think that AD David Benedict was not blind sided by this development, so he is probably well down his succession contact list by now.
 
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GampelGladiator said:
My bad...I was being sarcastic...my intended joke was that both would be less because I'm going to pass on the bowl and early renewal...therefore I was my source...

Having said that...it stands to reason that Mora's departure will lead to a drop in both...the degree to which is of course to be determined.

Same for the portal...there would be players entering portal no matter what...but stands to reason that there will be more players in portal now that their head coach has left.
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Maybe or maybe not as far as the bowl game is concern. What happens if there is a big hire for our next head coach announced a couple weeks before the bowl game?
 
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Tdaley said:
Maybe or maybe not as far as the bowl game is concern. What happens if there is a big hire for our next head coach announced a couple weeks before the bowl game?
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Even if we have guys announced for the Portal or thinking about it they should want to show well in any Bowl Game. If they're thinking about "opting out" they should pack up their gear now rather than distract the guys that want to play. I for one have a positive interest in this coaching hire and the upcoming Bowl Game. Mora helped us dispel some myths about the program and I'm sure the naysayers are hoping we fail so they can jump back in. Hope is not a plan. That's why we have DB.
 
In reality we don't need any. There will be conferences (notably the SEC) with open bids. Once there is a bid open, it's UConn vs any other teams without a contracted spot. UConn is more desirable than any of the other G5 candidates for eastern bowls. The western bowls could take an available MWC or Washington St. (I expect the Pac-10 spots will fill leaving them waiting for a home) team ahead of UConn.
 
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Well, this will be interesting if the list BugsyCT found and posted is valid. We need three results and the six most likely games to provide them are:

BYU (-17.5) over UCF
USF (-28.5) over Rice
AL (-4.5) over Auburn
Louisville (-1.5) over KY
FL (-1.5) over FLST
** USTA (-7.5) over Army (which will have one game left against Navy, a likely loss)

There are several other games that could provide the desired result, but that result is not favored by the odds.
 
How much do we “need” three results? Granted, I’ve been on of the worried folks about getting a bowl, but as people pointed out…we’re 9-3 with a solid offense and a good fan base. The 6-6 teams are much more likely to not get a bowl.
 
RSTuthill said:
Well, this will be interesting if the list BugsyCT found and posted is valid. We need three results and the six most likely games to provide them are:

BYU (-17.5) over UCF
USF (-28.5) over Rice
AL (-4.5) over Auburn
Louisville (-1.5) over KY
FL (-1.5) over FLST
** USTA (-7.5) over Army (which will have one game left against Navy, a likely loss)

There are several other games that could provide the desired result, but that result is not favored by the odds.
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Off that list, I'd say we get 4 right there.
 
snoopy said:
How much do we “need” three results? Granted, I’ve been on of the worried folks about getting a bowl, but as people pointed out…we’re 9-3 with a solid offense and a good fan base. The 6-6 teams are much more likely to not get a bowl.
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A 6-6 school can only be selected ahead of us if they are filling a bowl tie-in from their conference.

I imagine things would need to fall in an exceptionally unfortunate manner for us if it ends up that all 6-6 schools are filling out bowl tie-ins.
 
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snoopy said:
How much do we “need” three results? Granted, I’ve been on of the worried folks about getting a bowl, but as people pointed out…we’re 9-3 with a solid offense and a good fan base. The 6-6 teams are much more likely to not get a bowl.
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The other at large teams aren't as appealing. I'm not worried.
 
FfldCntyFan said:
A 6-6 school can only be selected ahead of us if they are filling a bowl tie-in from their conference.

I imagine things would need to fall in an exceptionally unfortunate manner for us if it ends up that all 6-6 schools are filling out bowl tie-ins.
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So…then all we need is a conference slot that’s left open? Like, a 6-6 SBC team wouldn’t be getting an open slot in an SEC bowl over us if there were no slots left in the SBC, correct?
 
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People are treating things like UConn is the last pick and only gets in if there aren't enough 6-win teams. That's not the case.

After a conference can't fill its allotted spots, the non-contracted teams can be picked. The SEC (among others) will not fill their contracted spots. The leftover bowls can then pick from any other team who is not contractually placed elsewhere. UConn will be the top pick among the available Eastern teams (who'll primarily come from the Sun Belt, MAC level). They will find a home. Out west I'd expect Washington State and some MWC teams to be a higher selection due to proximity.
 
BTW if you're following the eligibility needle here is their prediction:

Expected outcome: All eligible teams bowling + Missouri State + Delaware (w/ win) + 1-2 APR teams
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That means there wouldn't be enough 6 win teams, which would allow both Missouri State and Delaware (but only if they win) plus at least one, if not two (if Delaware loses) 5 win teams to get placed.
 
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Right now: North Carolina & Wisconsin would be the potentially eligible 5-win teams to be placed after the other bowls (there would be some wheeling/dealing there)
 
ScottVib said:
People are treating things like UConn is the last pick and only gets in if there aren't enough 6-win teams. That's not the case.

After a conference can't fill its allotted spots, the non-contracted teams can be picked. The SEC (among others) will not fill their contracted spots. The leftover bowls can then pick from any other team who is not contractually placed elsewhere. UConn will be the top pick among the available Eastern teams (who'll primarily come from the Sun Belt, MAC level). They will find a home. Out west I'd expect Washington State and some MWC teams to be a higher selection due to proximity.
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You guys need to listen to Scott. He knows his stuff.
 
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