2024 KenPom

[navery12]

https://kenpom.com/index.php

Annual disclaimer that KenPom uses last season's data until about January

 

[navery12]

UConn projected at 23-7 (15-5)

@ Kansas, vs Gonzaga, @ Creighton, @ Marquette are the only games we're not favored in

 

[Chin Diesel]

UConn projected at 23-7 (15-5)

@ Kansas, vs Gonzaga, @ Creighton, @ Marquette are the only games we're not favored in

View attachment 92121

Interesting they give UConn a 70% chance of beating Creighton and Marquette at home but Marquette and Creighton only have 53% of beating UConn when UConn travels to their home.

 

[lange10]

Is this the year we snap the sneak and win a road game vs a top 25 team?

Maybe it doesn’t matter if you’re the king of the neutral court.

 

[EZPass]

FYI

 

[navery12]

Interesting they give UConn a 70% chance of beating Creighton and Marquette at home but Marquette and Creighton only have 53% of beating UConn when UConn travels to their home.

All 3 teams have a pretty high home court advantage (3.5-3.9 points). On a neutral court were ~2 point favorites. Which means on our home court we end up being an even stronger favorite, but only a slight underdog on the road

 

[TheChamps990411]

UConn projected at 23-7 (15-5)

@ Kansas, vs Gonzaga, @ Creighton, @ Marquette are the only games we're not favored in

View attachment 92121

The maffs is off. Has us projected at 23-7 but the schedule has us at 26-4

 

[DaveHuskiesFan]

The maffs is off. Has us projected at 23-7 but the schedule has us at 26-4

Projected record is based on cumulative probabilities of winning each game and may not equal the sum of individual game predictions.

 

[Dove]

FYI

Okay?

 

[August_West]

Projected record is based on cumulative probabilities of winning each game and may not equal the sum of individual game predictions.

I love math!

 

[shizzle787]

Does anyone know the conference rankings (1-32)?

 

[navery12]

Does anyone know the conference rankings (1-32)?

 

[shizzle787]

View attachment 92124

A couple surprises from this:
1. WAC at 13th? They lost some of their better programs.
2. MAAC is behind the AE? That is a little surprising.
3. Pac-12 over ACC? It's usually been the reverse.

 

[Hurleyman216]

View attachment 92124

There’s about a 0.0% chance the Big Ten is a better conference than the Big East this year. I also expect the BE to be better than the SEC.

 

[Dooooooomed]

 

[Husky68]

If I was using last year's data I'd put UConn as #1.

 

[Tenspro2002]

Projected record is based on cumulative probabilities of winning each game and may not equal the sum of individual game predictions.

Bingo.

A team that is favored in every game is not expected to go undefeated.

 

[Austin316]

UConn projected at 23-7 (15-5)

@ Kansas, vs Gonzaga, @ Creighton, @ Marquette are the only games we're not favored in

View attachment 92121

Gonzaga…. 2,700 miles from Storrs…
Game location… Seattle…
Kenpom = “Semi-away”

 

[Tenspro2002]

View attachment 92124

The ACC is closer to the MWC than they are to the Big East.

The AAC being below the WCC is just embarrassing.

 

[shizzle787]

UConn projected at 23-7 (15-5)

@ Kansas, vs Gonzaga, @ Creighton, @ Marquette are the only games we're not favored in

View attachment 92121

This does tick me off though. We play 4 of the 25 worst teams in Division 1. We need to play cupcakes. But 1-2 of them can be in the 150-200 range. They don't need to be in the 340-Disivion 2 range.

 

[shizzle787]

If the MW and Pac-12 remnants merge and somehow steal Gonzaga from under the Big 12's nose, the new league will be a clear #6 pushing the ACC for the #5 spot.

 

[auror]

Gonzaga…. 2,700 miles from Storrs…
Game location… Seattle…
Kenpom = “Semi-away”

View attachment 92126

Even worse, the NET will just call that "Neutral".

 

[kobe]

If the MW and Pac-12 remnants merge and somehow steal Gonzaga from under the Big 12's nose, the new league will be a clear #6 pushing the ACC for the #5 spot.

don't sell yourself short friend.

the big east the clear #6 (there are only 5 power conferences, soon to be 4).

 

[shizzle787]

don't sell yourself short friend.

the big east the clear #6 (there are only 5 power conferences, soon to be 4).

That's embarrassing for the ACC then being worse than a mid-major and all.

 

[shizzle787]

Massey has us #3 btw.