2023 Fall Camp | Page 17 | The Boneyard

2023 Fall Camp

huskidork

bailey
Joined
Jul 14, 2023
Messages
195
Reaction Score
758
so so close to the season, I'm excited I expect us to start of well Go Huskies!
 
Joined
Aug 27, 2011
Messages
1,564
Reaction Score
6,599
Despite last season's success.. the computer ratings generally still had the Huskies pretty low on their rankings, with the majority of the wins coming against teams rated in that sub-90 range. Many of the beginning of the year ratings are last year's rating with an adjustment for returning players. Given that it's not a surprise that the computer ratings still don't have a glowing opinion.

I do wonder to what extent the computer ratings consider talent transfers in-bound (although that would probably get even more subjective than considering talent departures).
 
Joined
Sep 18, 2011
Messages
5,552
Reaction Score
23,300
What hurt UConn's computer rankings last year were the game 3 through 5 losses:

Syracuse 48-14
@Michigan 59-0
@NC State 41-10
 
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
8,552
Reaction Score
16,658
NC ST will have a new QB this year
They have talent on D, some holes to fill on offense. But if they're buying bad press on us or living in the past I think we make them pay. My way too early prediction is we win by more than 7 points. Only key injuries would change that prediction.
 
Joined
Sep 21, 2019
Messages
558
Reaction Score
2,332
At the beginning of the year computer ranking are largle based on human guesses.
Well thats just not true. A data model is derived from datasets and patterns in said data. The differences in models is what data they use and how they interpret it, meaning if lets say model A heavily weights projected wins on shoelace brand and model B on last 5 seasons win rate, you will likely get very different outputs.

Or even 10 year historical data versus 5 years historical data will show major differences
 

Chin Diesel

The timing could not possibly be worse
Joined
Aug 24, 2011
Messages
33,899
Reaction Score
108,254
Well thats just not true. A data model is derived from datasets and patterns in said data. The differences in models is what data they use and how they interpret it, meaning if lets say model A heavily weights projected wins on shoelace brand and model B on last 5 seasons win rate, you will likely get very different outputs.

Or even 10 year historical data versus 5 years historical data will show major differences

So, they have to make assumptions or guesses on how much to weight different factors?
 
Joined
Aug 28, 2011
Messages
11,883
Reaction Score
20,464
Why make an announcement, is there a rule that there needs to be one on a week before the season?
 
Joined
Sep 21, 2019
Messages
558
Reaction Score
2,332
So, they have to make assumptions or guesses on how much to weight different factors?
Not even. With proper tools, you can create processes that figure out what data points are relevant or insignificant. Its not at all about football, its just data. The more the better.

Plus wait until this leads to ChatGPT applications that crunch the numbers and help people bet their money more effectively.
 
Joined
Jun 6, 2021
Messages
661
Reaction Score
2,556
Of all the things GPT can do... analytics and math is DEFINITELY not up there
1692593260779.png
 

Online statistics

Members online
81
Guests online
7,933
Total visitors
8,014

Forum statistics

Threads
162,454
Messages
4,310,759
Members
10,134
Latest member
Lafayette


.
..
Top Bottom