2020 UConn projected game lines via Brad Powers’ power ratings | The Boneyard

2020 UConn projected game lines via Brad Powers’ power ratings

Drew

Drew

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Obviously subject to change but I bet that Maine line will catch some folks’ attention

9/3 UConn -10 v UMass
9/12 UConn +26 @ Illinois
9/19 UConn +32 @ UVA
9/26 UConn +32 v Indiana
10/3 UConn +2 v Old Dominion
10/10 UConn +4 v Maine
10/24 UConn +35 @ Ole Miss
10/31 UConn +9 v Liberty
11/7 UConn +41 @ UNC
11/14 UConn +14 @ San Jose State
11/21 UConn +13 v Middle Tennessee State
11/28 UConn +12 v Army
 
mikedog10 said:
I wouldn't give the book money any time too soon...
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Use DraftKings/Fanduel and they are pretty good about refunding bets. I got $50 back for my futures bet on UConn bball to win the national championship...
 
HuskyAlum012 said:
Use DraftKings/Fanduel and they are pretty good about refunding bets. I got $50 back for my futures bet on UConn bball to win the national championship...
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What odds did you get?
 
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Thanks Drew
It's not your fault if this whole odds thing is total BS at this time!
 
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Maine favored?

I might put money on that if I was a betting guy. Maine does have their QB position settled though.
 
Hey, losing by only about 2 touchdowns a game is a step in the right direction. Believe in the process.
 
4 wins is "barely acceptable", 5 wins is "on track", 6 or more wins is "ahead of schedule". Anything less than 4 wins and Edsall needs to be replaced.

Note: I'd expect 6 or more wins starting in 2021.
 
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Looking at the schedule there are 7 winnable games on it. If there has been any progress made by this staff then the floor for what is acceptable better not be less than 4 games. If Randy finds a way to lose by two touchdowns to Middle Tennessee at home he should be fired out of the stadium by a cannon and into unemployment. No more excuses Randy these are your players. Win some damn games.
 
mikeinmanila said:
4 wins is "barely acceptable", 5 wins is "on track", 6 or more wins is "ahead of schedule". Anything less than 4 wins and Edsall needs to be replaced.

Note: I'd expect 6 or more wins starting in 2021.
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You do realize that 6 wins would double the previous THREE year total! Quite an achievement, but guess not having to play Tulane, Temple, Tulsa and the other AAC powerhouses gives him a fighting chance.
 
So many unknowns this year but they can be filed under, will the turnover on D make things better or worse and same for O. You would expect D to be better, but better by much? I expect the O to take a step back unless there are some real gems redshirting on the scout team last season.

For a team like UConn, there isn't much for early bookmakers to do but go by statistics and assume anyone new is a step back. By that method, we'd be a dog to just about any FBS squad.

I think the measurables will be up this year. Will situational awareness and execution be better? That's Randy's job and this is the year he needs to put a real program on the field. Can't defend another 4 win season of losing to Maine, UMass, or Old Dominion at home. Can't defend losing to Army or Liberty at home either unless there are offsetting marquee wins to show there is progress. That means that 5 is the number, anything less needs an clear and unimpeachable explanation. There are 4 other "winnable" games were a WTF win is possible if everything goes right. I refuse to believe that Indiana, Illinois, MTSU, or SJSU aren't capable of laying an egg, why not against us. Missouri almost did it.
 
Not seeing where people see 6-7 wins. I think it's more in the 3-4 range and if things go well 5 would be the apex.
 
methodology said:
Not seeing where people see 6-7 wins. I think it's more in the 3-4 range and if things go well 5 would be the apex.
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Not 7 wins, though how awesome would that be?

The lines show a series of beatdowns but some of them seem to be inflated. There are 7 games that could win. That's different than saying we will. O/U is likely 4.
 
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uchusky32 said:
1-11, just part of the plan.
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Tighter budgets caused by declining tax revenues is the biggest opponent that UConn FBS football faces.

The question facing UConn Administration is how many millions dollars of support is a 1 - 11, or 2-10, 3- 9 FBS team worth when that money lost on football could be spent on financial assistance to UConn students, or simply improving the academic footprint of the university since the UConn’s basketball program will shortly regained national prominence.
 
Bobol said:
Tighter budgets caused by declining tax revenues is the biggest opponent that UConn FBS football faces.

The question facing UConn Administration is how many millions dollars of support is a 1 - 11, or 2-10, 3- 9 FBS team worth when that money lost on football could be spent on financial assistance to UConn students, or simply improving the academic footprint of the university since the UConn’s basketball program will shortly regained national prominence.
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The move to independent was designed to make the program profitable. Ultimately, less travel saves $1M, buy games pick up $2 -$3M a yr and opponents fans want to see will improve attendance. We have discussed this ad nauseum in other discussions - the football program will be better and so will the revenue. While it won't be the bellcow that makes money for the rest of the athletic department, it won't be a drain.
 
Should already have been fired, but is allowed to muddle on for bargain basement pay.
 
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