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Message: [QUOTE="ctchamps, post: 3357923, member: 37"] You're going down a rabbit hole that you can't win. Projection is harder to argue for than existing information. Personally I enjoy projection but most people are uncomfortable with it. I used to evaluate events and recommend people be cautious about various investments. I was handicapped given it wasn't my field, but common sense indicated higher and lower probabilities with outcomes. People preferred relying on recent prior events and got burned for it. I'm not sure you are being irrationally exuberant. Perhaps just premature in making definitive conclusions. Player development is not linear. No one would have predicted the season Kemba had his junior season based on his freshman and sophomore years. Bazz was more linear. Jeremy was not a major factor the beginning of his freshman year but starting in the second third of the season his development was primarily upward. Still no one could rationally predict after a 9-9 conference record that team would pull off 12 straight. I will say I like the players we have if they can continue to develop. At this point in time I'm most concerned about the point guard situation next year because I have not seen one game RJ has played in and Jalen is still learning. It would be a better situation if AG came back based on those two factors but that's with an absence of information about one player and too early a judgement on the other. [/QUOTE]