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LMAO...
Medic, I don’t see you carrying the kind of cred that Chief has until you start posting in the third person
LMAO...
I get the humor, but we had some trend deniers.LMAO...
Southeast Virginia
Yeah, more validation on the recruiting strategy.
LMAO...
If you compare RE 1.0 to RE 2.0, the recruiting geography strategy hasn't changed that much. What may have changed is the number of early offers in Southern states as historically, Florida kids have been late to commit. Also, we know schools throw out more offers than they did in the past and kids publicize offers more easily with Twitter. (And, Rivals typically didn't list FCS and some lower FBS offers in the past which made some past UConn recruits look like they didn't have any other offers. By the way, a Northeastern recruit is more likely to have FCS offers as there are a lot of FCS schools in the Northeast relative to other states. In NE/NY/PA there are 27 FCS schools. In the four big recruiting states there are 4 in California, 4 in Florida, 3 in Georgia, and 8 in Texas.)As Chief was saying earlier, it’s a paradigm change, not the usual pattern from past years. This latest wave of offers just validated the information that Chief was trying to share. I am not trying to get in a debate about comparative educational systems in states but suffice to say we will need an Admissions Office that cooperates much more so than in the past, if this strategy is going to work.
Thanks for crunching the numbers - with nearly 60 offers so far to recruits in Southern states, something has changed this year. We usually bring in about 20 recruits - what’s the usual % of commits/offers?If you compare RE 1.0 to RE 2.0, the recruiting geography strategy hasn't changed that much. What may have changed is the number of early offers in Southern states as historically, Florida kids have been late to commit. Also, we know schools throw out more offers than they did in the past and kids publicize offers more easily with Twitter. (And, Rivals typically didn't list FCS and some lower FBS offers in the past which made some past UConn recruits look like they didn't have any other offers. By the way, a Northeastern recruit is more likely to have FCS offers as there are a lot of FCS schools in the Northeast relative to other states. In NE/NY/PA there are 27 FCS schools. In the four big recruiting states there are 4 in California, 4 in Florida, 3 in Georgia, and 8 in Texas.)
Here are the recruits for RE 1.0 from 2004 to 2009 vs recruits for RE 2.0 in 2018 and 2019 by state and I threw in 2 years of Diaco as well (some states with a small number of recruits not listed and 2019 was a small recruiting class):
RE 1.0: CT 3.7, FL 3.5, PA 3.2, NJ 2.2, DC/MD 1.8, GA 1.7, MA 1.7, NY 1.7, VA 1.0, Canada 0.7, NH 0.7, Texas 0.7
RE 2.0: CT 3.0, FL 3.0, TX 2.5, Canada 2.0, DC/MD 2.0, GA 1.5, PA 1.5, MA 1.0, NY 1.0, NJ 0.5.
Diaco 2015/2016: NJ 4.5, CT 2.5, FL 2.0, MA 2.0, NY 1.5, PA 1.5, DC/MD 1.0, TX 0.5, VA 0.5
Given there is year to year volatility, the two RE groups look similar, but you could say we are doing more in Texas and less in NJ and PA. But, CT, FL, GA, and MD look pretty steady. I think the issue with PA is the smaller number of recruits. In 2005/2006, PA averaged ~47 current P5 recruits/year, but only ~33 recruits/year in 2018/2019.
Clearly, Diaco changed the recruiting geography: Heavier in NJ, lighter in FL, and nothing in GA or Canada.
That is a good question. With some schools offering up to 400 scholarships for 20 to 25 spots, the yield is low. I think Edsall has typically offered a much lower number of scholarships. I think a 10% yield on offers would seem to be the target.Thanks for crunching the numbers - with nearly 60 offers so far to recruits in Southern states, something has changed this year. We usually bring in about 20 recruits - what’s the usual % of commits/offers?
I think this is exactly right. Let’s see how the offers shake out after the camps. I suspect it’ll be back to a normal balance.That is a good question. With some schools offering up to 400 scholarships for 20 to 25 spots, the yield is low. I think Edsall has typically offered a much lower number of scholarships. I think a 10% yield on offers would seem to be the target.
It seems the strategy this year is to offer the Southern recruits early and offer the Northern recruits during the upcoming camps. Edsall typically wants kids to camp for offers, but you can’t do that with Southern kids.
Winter Park Florida WR/DB Marcus Clarke:
I'm betting the list is adjusted since he picked up a "dream school offer" from the University of Miami today.
Pomfret CT native Cam Large attending Noble and Greenough up in MA. We were his third (after UMass /Kent State) of 26 offers.