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Message: [QUOTE="jonson, post: 3326712, member: 6034"] I agree, generally. However, with a relatively small number of exceptions, it's proved to be really difficult to predict how high school players will actually do in college. Here's the 2016 top 10 from Hoopgurlz (in order) for this year's seniors: L. Cox, Joiner Holmes, C. Dangerfield, S. Ionescu, E. Boley, S. Sutton, D. Slocum, N Chou, L. Odom, T. McCoy. Some have indeed been difference makers (Cox, Dangerfield, Ionescu); some have been good to very good but not, imo, truly exceptional (Sutton, Slocum, Odom), and some (4 out of 10) have not yet proved that their top 10 ranking was justified: Joiner Holmes, Boley, Chou, McCoy. Then there are many players outside the top 10 in 2016 who have proved to be equal to, if not better than, all of the above, with the exception of the first category. Here are some from the Pac 12 only: M. Pivec (#26), D. Carrington (#34), R. Hebard (#40), A. McDonald (#55). Doubtless any coach (or fan) would rather have as many top 10 players as possible, but--if 2016 is typical--only a relatively small number of them will actually become the game changers their ranking promises. [/QUOTE]