2018 Open Championship

[jleves]

Can't believe nobody started this on the eve of the tournament.

Well the usual, who do you got, what do you expect.

Looking at weather, Carnasty looks like it will be taken advantage of this time around. Golfers going out early on Thursday and late on Friday may get a couple stroke advantage. It looks like winds will be down Thursday morning and picking up later while Friday morning will rainy and windy with conditions being better later. Other than that, weather doesn't look to be a big factor - fortunately that can always change over there.

The odds maker favor Dustin at +1200. Justin Rose, Fowler and Rory are +1600. Spieth, Rahm, Fleetwood, Justin Thomas, Koepka and Woods at +2200. I have no idea how Tiger can be in that group other than that's where money likes to go to die.

My take is that none of those win.

I'm going with Molinari (+3300), Reed (+3500) and Grace (+4000).

 

[Chin Diesel]

Molinari, Stenson and Fowler.

Tiger said fairways are faster than greens.

Dry summer, rock hard ground.

Weather always unpredictable.

Read same thing about Thurs morning / Friday afternoon tee times have better opportunity for decent weather.

 

[Robertelamin]

Jazz Janewattananond. Might as well lock the thread up now.

 

[UCDaveD]

Tommy Fleets 22-1

Sergio 28-1

DeChambeau 125-1

Shaufflele 150-1

Snedeker 150-1

 

[Jaker]

Bonnie Burn

 

[J187Money]

I would have preferred them to play in 41 degrees / heavy wind / driving rain like it was when we were there in April

Seems like a lovely course this time of year lol.

 

[LIuconn]

Love seeing the course like this

 

[LIuconn]

Scores weren't as low as I thought they'd be considering the fair conditions. They're calling for some rain tomorrow, we'll see what happens.

Rory's looking good!

 

[Chin Diesel]

Kisner only had 22 putts today.

Let that sink in for a minute.

 

[jleves]

Super compressed board - 49 within 5 shots, 89 within 7.

And the group between 4 under and 4 over: 127 guys.

 

[uconnfan68]

Tommy Fleets 22-1

Sergio 28-1

DeChambeau 125-1

Shaufflele 150-1

Snedeker 150-1

Ball strikers. Good choices.

 

[jleves]

Tommy Fleets 22-1

Sergio 28-1

DeChambeau 125-1

Shaufflele 150-1

Snedeker 150-1

Ball strikers. Good choices.

Might have been good choices but they didn't perform well:
Sergio +4
DeChambeau +4
Schauffele E
Snedeker +5

I was almost as bad with my choices:
Molinari -1
Reed +4
Grace +3

 

[jleves]

So looking at the leader board and original odds (obviously this will change tomorrow):
Kisner +40,000
Van Rooyen +50,000
Finau +10,000
Lombard +100,000 (good lord I hope he wins)
Stone +15,000
Moore +15,000
Steele +50,000
Southgate +12,500
Willett +15,000
Kang +75,000
Perez +25,000
Rahm +2,200
Henley +20,000
McIlroy +1,600
Johnson (Zach) +10,000
Thomas (Justin) +2,200
Reavie +50,000

Point being most of the favorites aren't there yet. I'll redo this tomorrow.

 

[J187Money]

Kisner only had 22 putts today.

Let that sink in for a minute.

Those are tough greens. That's legit.

 

[Chin Diesel]

A few other ball strikers who aren't the longest and can use the running fairways to shorten the course- Charley Hoffman and Zach Johnson.

Both within striking distance and can go fairways and greens all day long.

 

[LIuconn]

Kisner hit 9 greens. Short game was on fire

 

[UCDaveD]

Might have been good choices but they didn't perform well:
Sergio +4
DeChambeau +4
Schauffele E
Snedeker +5

I was almost as bad with my choices:
Molinari -1
Reed +4
Grace +3

DeChambeau, Sergio, & Sneds are getting cut

Xander is around for the weekend.

Tommy Fleets is sitting in 3rd at -5

Lots of golf left.

 

[LIuconn]

Kisner is burning every edge today. Guy's putter is on point.

 

[huskyrob1]

Can't believe nobody started this on the eve of the tournament.

Well the usual, who do you got, what do you expect.

Looking at weather, Carnasty looks like it will be taken advantage of this time around. Golfers going out early on Thursday and late on Friday may get a couple stroke advantage. It looks like winds will be down Thursday morning and picking up later while Friday morning will rainy and windy with conditions being better later. Other than that, weather doesn't look to be a big factor - fortunately that can always change over there.

The odds maker favor Dustin at +1200. Justin Rose, Fowler and Rory are +1600. Spieth, Rahm, Fleetwood, Justin Thomas, Koepka and Woods at +2200. I have no idea how Tiger can be in that group other than that's where money likes to go to die.

My take is that none of those win.

I'm going with Molinari (+3300), Reed (+3500) and Grace (+4000).

Jordan Spieth

 

[LIuconn]

So much quality within 5 shots. Will be a very fun weekend

 

[UCDaveD]

Xander comes in at -5!

 

[uconnfan68]

Might have been good choices but they didn't perform well:
Sergio +4
DeChambeau +4
Schauffele E
Snedeker +5

I was almost as bad with my choices:
Molinari -1
Reed +4
Grace +3

I like Xander’s game. And Molinari was almost perfect at Avenal.

 

[jleves]

So looking at the leader board and original odds (obviously this will change tomorrow):
Kisner +40,000
Van Rooyen +50,000
Finau +10,000
Lombard +100,000 (good lord I hope he wins)
Stone +15,000
Moore +15,000
Steele +50,000
Southgate +12,500
Willett +15,000
Kang +75,000
Perez +25,000
Rahm +2,200
Henley +20,000
McIlroy +1,600
Johnson (Zach) +10,000
Thomas (Justin) +2,200
Reavie +50,000

Point being most of the favorites aren't there yet. I'll redo this tomorrow.

What a difference a day makes:
Johnson (Zach) +10,000
Kisner +2,200
Fleetwood +3,300
Perez +10,000
Schauffele 12,500
McIroy +1,000
Van Rooyen +50,000
Kuchar +5,000
Finau +10,000
Lombard +100,000
Chappell +12,500
Spieth +2,800
Fowler +1,600
Olesen +10,000
Willett +15,000
List +10,000
Stone +15,000

Two super long shots still on the first page....

 

[Chin Diesel]

Saturday early morning groups tearing it up.

Good morning Mr. Rose and your 64.

Can't imagine the course getting easier throughout the day. Even if the weather remains ideal those greens will be longer and more beat up by mid afternoon.

 

[MadDogRevival]

Duffner/Fisher/Reed all scored 75/70/68 to total 213 and are tied at -3. What are the odds of that? Gotta be really remote.