I look at this whole realignment situation like that boardgame "Risk". It's all about territory:
Assuming that the whole 4 superconfs with 16 teams is an inevitabability and that the Big 10 will eventually add more teams, the ACC's only and best move is to add UConn and Rutgers.
With UC & RU, the ACC would absolutely lock up the North East beyond any shadow of doubt, knock away any in-roads the B10 have made in the NY State market & perhaps even threaten PSU a bit in PA. At the least, PSU will beseiged by the ACC on all sides and as their regional dominance suffers, so will their recruiting.
Without UC & RU, the ACC leaves open the possibilty that Big10 will play the UConn/Rutgers Card.
If the Big10 does, it would be semi-disasterous to the ACC. Instead of a cohesive conference of 16, balanced between North & South, the ACC would be just a southern conference of 11 with 3 northern outliers. PA, Jersey, NYC and Southern New England would all solidly belong to the Big 10. Leaving just three weak, tiny northern ACC islands in a vast Big10 sea.
There's a lot of posturing going on, a lot of Notre Dame-to-the-ACC talk too (which will NEVER happen, if they go anywhere, it would be to the Big 10), but in the end, the ACC cannot afford to let the Big 10 have us. We will be in the ACC sooner, rather than later.
Assuming that the whole 4 superconfs with 16 teams is an inevitabability and that the Big 10 will eventually add more teams, the ACC's only and best move is to add UConn and Rutgers.
With UC & RU, the ACC would absolutely lock up the North East beyond any shadow of doubt, knock away any in-roads the B10 have made in the NY State market & perhaps even threaten PSU a bit in PA. At the least, PSU will beseiged by the ACC on all sides and as their regional dominance suffers, so will their recruiting.
Without UC & RU, the ACC leaves open the possibilty that Big10 will play the UConn/Rutgers Card.
If the Big10 does, it would be semi-disasterous to the ACC. Instead of a cohesive conference of 16, balanced between North & South, the ACC would be just a southern conference of 11 with 3 northern outliers. PA, Jersey, NYC and Southern New England would all solidly belong to the Big 10. Leaving just three weak, tiny northern ACC islands in a vast Big10 sea.
There's a lot of posturing going on, a lot of Notre Dame-to-the-ACC talk too (which will NEVER happen, if they go anywhere, it would be to the Big 10), but in the end, the ACC cannot afford to let the Big 10 have us. We will be in the ACC sooner, rather than later.