ocoandasoc
Fan of MizzoUConn
- Joined
- Nov 20, 2012
- Messages
- 360
- Reaction Score
- 1,169
Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight.com site is usually amazingly accurate with their predictions on political races across the country. This year he is taking on the NCAA Women’s Tourney and giving probabilities of each team advancing to each level. The web site is
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/march-madness-predictions-2015/#womens
But here are some highlights:
Chances of winning it all: (Teams with at least a .5% chance or better)
UConn 74%
SC 10%
ND 9%
Md 2%
Baylor 2%
Tenn 2%
Chances of making the Final Four: (Teams with at least a .5% chance or better)
Spokane:
Md 37%
Tenn 33%
Ore St 17%
Duke 9%
Prncton 2%
Albany
UConn 96%
Ktky 1%
Lville 1%
OK City
ND 58%
Baylor 30%
Stnfrd 5%
Iowa 4%
DePaul 1%
Greensboro
SC 67%
FlSt 17%
UNC 7%
ArizSt 4%
TxA&M 1%
Best chances for first round upset:
DePaul 77%
Nebraska 48%
Gonzaga 48%
Arkansas 43%
Miami 42%
OKSt 41%
Pittsburgh 41%
JMU 40%
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/march-madness-predictions-2015/#womens
But here are some highlights:
Chances of winning it all: (Teams with at least a .5% chance or better)
UConn 74%
SC 10%
ND 9%
Md 2%
Baylor 2%
Tenn 2%
Chances of making the Final Four: (Teams with at least a .5% chance or better)
Spokane:
Md 37%
Tenn 33%
Ore St 17%
Duke 9%
Prncton 2%
Albany
UConn 96%
Ktky 1%
Lville 1%
OK City
ND 58%
Baylor 30%
Stnfrd 5%
Iowa 4%
DePaul 1%
Greensboro
SC 67%
FlSt 17%
UNC 7%
ArizSt 4%
TxA&M 1%
Best chances for first round upset:
DePaul 77%
Nebraska 48%
Gonzaga 48%
Arkansas 43%
Miami 42%
OKSt 41%
Pittsburgh 41%
JMU 40%