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Message: [QUOTE="diggerfoot, post: 3076458, member: 1673"] To win it all you must first get to the FF, thus factoring in the ability not only to win but to be upset as well. I favor UConn to get to the FF over any other team, they just don't get beat by inferior teams. Once there I only think Notre Dame would beat them .... but I do not think Notre Dame will get to the FF. I think they have chemistry issues which will surface over the course of a six game tournament and I know they are vulnerable to the upset, whether it's due to chemistry or not. After UConn I think MS is second least likely to be upset, Baylor third least likely, only because MS is a little bit more battle tested towards the end of the season. On the other side of things Stanford has proven capable of the upset numerous times; so has Louisville, but I have to wonder about their injuries. Iowa has a money player in the post. Oregon, on the other hand, appears to have worse chemistry issues than Notre Dame, though their talent level may be second only to Notre Dame. With a healthy Louisville my order would be: UConn MS Baylor Louisville Stanford Iowa Notre Dame Oregon If Louisville is not healthy I would drop them down to 8th and move all the others up one. To fulfill the requirements I'll list Oregon State as 9 and Miami as 10, but I have no firm rationale after the first eight. [/QUOTE]