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Message: [QUOTE="Tenspro2002, post: 4512637, member: 889"] I have no idea how to feel about the spread (-7 or 7.5 is what I've seen), but the moneyline at -345/+285 seems way too high. That would imply that we're like 76% to win this game. I put a little on Xavier +285 (hate doing this, but seems like good value and I expect to be able to hedge it live if the game is close in the second half). If we get an early lead and the live spread inflates from 7.5 to 10.5 or so, I'd probably put some on Xavier +10.5 (even if there's fouling at the end, it's rare for that to push into double digits), also expecting to hedge later and get UConn at -3.5 or whatever when we have a small lead later on and give myself a big landing strip. If we blow them out from the tip I'm happy to take a bath on this game. [/QUOTE]