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[QUOTE="intlzncster, post: 2761325, member: 56"] Group F scenarios are crazy: - Mexico need a point vs. Sweden to go through and top the group. They are definitely through with a defeat if Germany fail to win. - Sweden are guaranteed to qualify if they win or better Germany's result. If they beat Mexico and Germany fail to win, Sweden will top the group. - Germany must win by two or more goals or better Sweden's result to guarantee qualifying. - If both Germany and Sweden draw, the team in the higher-scoring game will finish second. If both draws are the same scoreline, Germany finish second on head to head. - South Korea must beat Germany and hope Sweden lose to Mexico to have a chance of qualifying. THREE-WAY TIE FOR FIRST AND SECOND - If Sweden and Germany win they will finish level on six points with Mexico, and it will first come down to goal difference. - Sweden are through in all scenarios. Germany are through in all but three scenarios, which means Mexico are most likely to be eliminated. - If Sweden win by two or more goals they are through, with Germany guaranteed to qualify with any win (Mexico out) - If Germany win by two or more goals they are through, with Sweden through with any win (Mexico out) - If both Germany and Sweden win 1-0 the three teams would have identical records and it would go to head-to-head mini-league, and this would see Germany and Sweden through on goals scored (with Germany top on direct head to head with Sweden) and Mexico out. - If both Germany and Sweden win 2-1 then Sweden would win the group on head to head goals scored. Mexico would be in second ahead of Germany in third on direct head to head - If both Germany and Sweden win 3-2 (or any higher one-goal identical margin of victory) then Sweden would win the group with Mexico second and Germany third on head-to-head mini-league goals scored - The only other way Mexico can go through, at the expense of Germany, if is both games are won by one goal, but Mexico's defeat against Sweden is a higher-scoring game. - If Sweden win by one goal, and Germany win by one goal but in a high-scoring game, Germany win the group with Sweden in second and Mexico out THREE-WAY TIE FOR SECOND - If South Korea win and Sweden lose there will be a three-way tie for second on three points for Germany, Sweden and South Korea. It will first come down to goal difference. - If South Korea beat Germany by two goals they are guaranteed to finish second - If South Korea beat Germany 1-0 and Sweden lose 1-0 to Mexico, Germany would be second on direct head to head against Sweden with South Korea bottom - If South Korea beat Germany by a higher-scoring one-goal margin than Sweden lose to Mexico, then South Korea would finish second on direct head to head against Germany with Sweden bottom - If Sweden lose by more than one goal they cannot qualify, and South Korea would therefore finish second with any victory [/QUOTE]
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