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Message: [QUOTE="huskymedic, post: 3161729, member: 549"] [URL unfurl="true"]https://d1baseball.com/projections/stock-report/postseason-stock-report-conference-tourney-week/[/URL] >>American Athletic Conference (4 total bids) SAFELY IN: East Carolina, Connecticut, Houston ON THE BUBBLE (IN): UCF ON THE BUBBLE (OUT): None One change from last week: UCF enters our field of 64, making the American a four-bid league. The Knights are the last team in our field of 64, making their position very precarious, but winning their final series against Houston this past weekend gave them a real shot if they can win some games in the conference tournament. UCF are No. 44 in the RPI and 11-13 in the conference, with an 8-9 record against the top 50. Those are all borderline metrics, but it’s a soft bubble, so right now they’re enough to get the Knights in, as long as there are no “stolen bids”. But realistically, there are always at least a couple stolen bids, so UCF needs to make some noise this week to improve its chances. UConn and Houston move back to the “safely in” category mostly because the bubble is so soft that neither team is really in danger. [U][I]UConn, in particular, did what it needed to do by winning its final series on the road at Tulane to finish 12-12 in the American, with a No. 28 RPI and a 9-9 top 50 record. That’s a slam-dunk at-large resumé, and probably a 2-seed resumé. [/I][/U]Houston has an identical conference record but is in worse RPI shape at No. 40, with a losing record against the top 50 (8-10). Still, we don’t think the Cougars are close to the bubble, especially if they win at least a game in the conference tournament.<< [/QUOTE]

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