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Message: [QUOTE="dbmill, post: 3137019, member: 2504"] Aaron Fitt analysis of where things stand for NCAA post season bids. [URL="https://d1baseball.com/projections/stock-report/postseason-stock-report-breaking-down-races-for-national-seeds-hosts-at-larges/"]Postseason Stock Report: Breaking Down Races For National Seeds, Hosts, At-Larges • D1Baseball[/URL] He has a bit on the AAC and UConn: >American Athletic Conference (3 total bids) SAFELY IN: East Carolina, Connecticut ON THE BUBBLE (IN): Houston ON THE BUBBLE (OUT): Tulane No change from last week. Houston has won eight of its last nine games, bookended by two midweek wins over Sam Houston State and highlighted by a midweek win over Texas A&M. Houston is back over .500 in conference at 8-7, but its RPI actually dropped three spots in the last week to No. 38. The RPI, the modest conference record and the 5-7 record against the top 50 keeps the Cougars on the bubble, but they’re trending in the right direction. Connecticut, meanwhile, is trending the wrong direction, with a home series loss to Cincinnati and a road sweep at the hands of East Carolina in the last three weeks. UConn has fallen below .500 in conference at 7-8, and boosting that record is its biggest priority going forward. The Huskies are still in decent shape overall because of their their No. 24 RPI and 7-7 record against the top 50, but they need to regain some momentum to avoid falling onto the bubble. Tulane remains the only other viable postseason contender in the American, sitting in second place at 8-3 in the standings. But its No. 89 RPI and 1-5 record against the top 50 still hold it back. If the Green Wave can win a road series at ECU this weekend, they should make a big leap in the RPI, and another road series at Houston presents further opportunity in a few weeks. So the Green Wave has a chance to get that RPI where it needs to be; the RPI Needs Report estimates that Tulane can surge into the top 45 with a 13-3 finish. That won’t be easy, and we’re not counting on it, but it’s within the realm of possibility.< My thinking is that UConn will be in good shape if it takes care of business in its home games against Wichita State and South Florida, two teams in the bottom third of the AAC standings. Wins against those teams and a decent final weekend against Tulane should put UConn in good shape for an NCAA tourney bid. [/QUOTE]

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