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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 3461477, member: 1329"] I would not hold games (or I would have no crowds) for the games in Washington. Or at the very least I would have a STRONG contingency plan. That situation is escalating and the testing is woefully underreporting the spread of the virus there. They are up to 9 deaths in Washington, most of whom were tested post-mortem, and there is no link known for how the nursing home that most of the deaths were from was infected. It's perhaps an outlier since the nursing home was more at risk, but 9 deaths would imply something like 500 cases, instead of only the 27 actually confirmed. That means the difference between the two numbers is undetected and currently spreading the virus at a likely exponential rate. Even if that number is only 200 instead of 475 due to the cluster nature of the deaths, it's much, much worse than 27, since it represents an additional ~4 growth cycles. The only saving grace is that it might still be fairly early in the potential pandemic there. It seems like cases have been roughly tripling in a week, so there might only be a few thousand cases in Washington by the time the games are played as opposed to 50k in a month if it spreads without being contained. [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/03/washington-state-risks-seeing-explosion-in-coronavirus-without-dramatic-action-new-analysis-says/[/URL] [/QUOTE]