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Message: [QUOTE="DefenseBB, post: 3392368, member: 7492"] ND currently sits at 6-9 with 15 games remaining. Here’s their remaining schedule of games with Massey win probability for 7 games - BC (74%), Miami (56%), @Virginia (51%), @ Wake Forest (53%), Pitt (95%), @ BC (58%), NC (53%) Losing 8 games- NC State 29%, @ Duke 38%, Louisville 23%, @ Ga Tech 26%, @ Louisville 12%, Va Tech 49%, Syracuse 46%, and @ Florida State 12% So Massey is predicting 13-17 record,which clearly is not Tourny worthy. However, as I also peruse McGraws Bench incognito, one poster is postulating they can make the NCAAT by going 12-3 and mimicking Tenn from a year ago who made it with 12 losses (19-12). Lets parse that dream with the Massey percentage and be an optimistic tossup/benefit of the doubt fan: NC State is at home but still a loss. Cunnane is too much for ND; at Duke which while Duke actually has more talent than ND this year (wow, when was the last time we could say that?) they are still coached by JPM. Let’s say ND is inspired and wins +1: Louisville at home and will be a loss. Jeff will love to blow them out at ND @ Georgia Tech- while Nell has them playing well, I don’t know about this one +1 for ND @ Louisville see above VPI at home 49% and I will have ND+1 Syracuse at home and this time I think ND wins another +1 @ Florida State, no chance. That’s 4-4 on an optimistic call Now in looking at the 7 predicted wins, I see Miami with Mompremier giving ND problems and I am curious about Wake and a North Carolina squad with Bailey as a decent post player to give ND fits. But let’s say they win these 7-0. This has an optimistic 11-4 so 17-13 record. Conference would be 12-6. Probably allows them going 1-1 in ACC tournament to finish 18-14. From a Quadrant perspective Miami and Duke will be good wins as will Georgia Tech and even Wake Forest. However at the moment they only have 2 good wins Michigan and USF. This is definitely a bubble team but will MM legacy get her in? [/QUOTE]

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