Thanks for the video. I love talking college basketball & Jerry Pom is very knowledgeable, so it was a good listen.
Putting on my critic’s hat, here are a couple of points about whether & how much the computers and the NET matter:
1. Jerry told us how decisions are made by the committee. First of all, he’s never sat on a committee and never will, so how does he know? Second, as a long time observer, I’ve noticed that committee members in post-deliberation interviews talk about how individual each committee’s dynamic is. So, I don’t think it’s possible to make broad generalizations about the committee’s decision making.
2. Jerry was just wrong on some of his facts. He made the claim that the NET strongly correlates with scoring margin and that if you check it, you’ll find that the top ten on the NET are all top ten in scoring margin with the exception of Purdue. Do I checked it. Not true. Only 5 teams showed up on the top 10 of both. So, I extended it to the top 15 just to cover the possibility of some near misses. Only one school was added - Purdue - making it only 6 of the top 15 that overlap. I wasn’t surprised because power ratings like Sagarin and Team Rankings do in fact make heavy use of scoring margin with adjustments for home court. In my experience of comparing them, they do not correlate well with the NET. The NET is a very unique formula with its own formula. Jerry Pom is a competitor, so I guess it’s good fir business to bash the competition.
3. It was interesting to listen to the conversation about whether Alabama should be a 1 or a 2 but either way about how strong they are. Either way, we beat the pants off Alabama by 15 points on a neutral court.