Who will be Geno’s starting point guard in the NCAA tournament?

[diggerfoot]

Who is Jokic? If it's NBA I don't watch so your analogy is wasted on me.

I agree that there are grey areas in the wager. My point was never that Muhl wouldn't start. I got into this by saying that Geno would not start three guards in 2024 despite having done so in the past. My reasons are spelled out on several posts and I'm not going to restate them here. The bottom line is that if Geno starts 2 guards then they are Bueckers and Fudd. Plus, I always prefaced my predictions based on everyone being healthy and at 100%. The reality is likely to be different from that. You therefore have a huge built-in advantage in that injuries only increase the odds of Muhl starting. So what I will bet on is that those three players will not all start in either UConn's first regular season or in the first NCAA game. There are just too many other factors that can change things.

Your two claims, three guards will not start + two starting guards are Fudd and Bueckers, are a syllogism that necessarily concludes Muhl will not start.

You do have a valid point that injuries to a variety of players favor Muhl starting, but an injury to Muhl causes me to lose the bet the way you’ve constructed it.

My counter is that all three will start the NCAA games barring injuries to any of them. Player injuries to any of those three, Griffin or Ducharme cancels the bet. Your “odds” now will be that injuries to four players will cancel the bet in your favor, while only an injury to Muhl cancels the bet in my favor.

 

[meyers7]

One important factor is the overall condition of Paige's knee in the recovery process.
If Geno plans on giving her more frequent rests to put less stress on it then it would make more sense to not start Nika so that she can come in as Paige's sub.
If Nika starts along with Paige & doesn't come in to sub for her then another PG will soon need to come in to sub for Nika.
Especially because there will be so many other PG's & guards that Geno will also want to be able to sub into games.
It doesn't make sense to me to start both until all of the issues with Paige's knee are resolved.
It would make more sense that they be platooned more often than not rather then playing as a tandem.

In addition, Azzi can also handle the ball well enough to push it up court with Just Go by committee.
When Paige's knee needs a rest then in comes Nika.

Not true. That's not how Geno subs. If The Kid, the Icon and Fudd all start along with Edwards (as expected), then say Ice/CDF/Griffin is the 5th starter. Then one of the other 2 would come in for the Icon and The Kid slides over to the main PG. (in reality The Kid and the Icon will probably be splitting PG duties when they play together.....like they've done in the past)

Geno doesn't necessarily sub PG for PG, or F for F, etc. He will sometimes, but is not bound by that. That's why he likes players who can play multiple positions. He can mix and match depending on what he needs/wants.