I'd say she's well under 50% in those situations and everyone else on the court knows what's coming and they're just standing around
So you think Geno is going to design a last second shot where everyone stands around watching Crystal either win or lose the game by herself?
Here’s what’s going to happen. Anna and Megan will each position themselves in a corner behind the arc, with Christyn behind the arc at the wing. Crystal, who has tremendous range will force a defender to cover her well beyond the arc at the top of the key
That positioning will effectively spread the floor. Liv will flash up to the high post to set a screen for Crystal. That’s when all the fun begins.
- If Crystal’s defender goes behind the screen, she will pull up for an open 3
- If Liv’s defender switches hard onto Crystal, Liv will roll hard to the basket where she will have a mismatch, and Crystal will get her the ball.
- If Crystal’s defender fights her way over Liv’s screen, there are several more options:
- If Crystal has a half step she will go up for a mid-range jumper
- If another player collapses on Crystal to double her, or even turns her head to look at her, there are more options:
- For a double-team either Meg, Anna or Christyn will be wide open at the arc. Crystal will get the ball to them and they will have the responsibility of knocking down the shot.
- If a defender turns her head to watch, a UConn player (Meg, Anna or Christyn) will make a hard backdoor cut for an open layup.
So yes, Crystal will have the ball in her hands in order to take the last shot, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that she will actually take the last shot.