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Message: [QUOTE="DefenseBB, post: 4848127, member: 7492"] While I love our Forum's passion (including [USER=26]@EricLA[/USER]) for our team, many seem to be ignoring point totals that actual matter. Voters do not start from scratch each week, they look at last weeks ranking and move up or down. Let's use Stanford for an example who was #8 last week with 637 points (150 more than UConn from the 35 voters). Stanford went 1-1 this week winning at #19 Utah but losing at #5 Colorado. The Voters are not going to penalize Stanford enough to fall below UConn. Add in that #7 LSU went 1-1, Baylor went 0-2 and UCLA lost to #9 USC. My guess is Stanford may actual move up a slot to #7 ahead of LSU and Baylor and right ahead of Kansas State. We will stay behind Kansas State. UConn will break the top 10 but just barely. Even Baylor who lost to 2 unranked teams will not drop all the way to 15 as the voters have had 16 games this year to evaluate them. My guess is they fall to #11. When we lost to NC State, who was unranked at that time, was severely penalizing because there was no "body of work" to balance the context of the loss. In other words, teams can jump up and down by more slots early in the season but only smaller amounts later. My guess is this: #1 SC #2 Iowa #3 Colorado #4 UCLA #5 NC State #6 USC #7 Stanford #8 Kansas State #9 UConn #10 LSU #11 Baylor #12 Texas #13 Virginia Tech #14 Louisville #15 Gonzaga #16 Indiana #17 Florida State #18 Ohio State #19 Notre Dame #20 Utah #21 Creighton #22 Marquette #23 UNLV #24 Oregon State #25 North Carolina [/QUOTE]

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