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[QUOTE="Phil, post: 2043512, member: 66"] Obviously, in any OT game you can point to a lot of things that could have changed the game if they went differently, remembering that if you pick a play early in the game, you can't assume the remainder will play out the same. So while I agree that if FSU hits their free throws, it might have turned out differently, I'll also note: [LIST] [*]With 16 seconds left in regulation, Holmes takes a close-in shot that very easily could have been a score. If it goes through the net, it's a 4 point game with under 16 seconds, and a very likely Texas win. [/LIST] [LIST] [*]Holmes was fouled on that shot. She goes to the line up 2. If she hits two, then it's a 4 point game and probably over and Texas wins. She hits one. [*]With 5 seconds left in the game. FL State is out of Timeouts, but Texas inexplicably calls a timeout, allowing FL State to set up a game tying shot. If Texas doesn't call a TO, what are the chances that FL State calls that same play? Unlikely. No TO? Probable Texas win. [*]Romero is not just a good 3 pointer shooter, she isn't just the best on FL State, she's the best 3 point shooter in the country! If you must call a TO Texas, can you at least mention this tiny fact in the discussion, and guard her? Romero inbounded the ball, was not hindered from getting to her spot and took an open 3 to tie the game. If Texas screens her, or even contests the shot if she does get it, maybe she misses it and Texas wins in regulation. [*]With 6 seconds left in the game Texas's high scorer McCarty takes a jump shot with the score tied. If she hits it, game over and Texas wins at the end of the first OT. [/LIST] So yes, there are scenarios in which FL State wins, but I just listed 5 very plausible scenarios in which Texas wins before the 2nd OT. [/QUOTE]
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