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Message: [QUOTE="bballnut90, post: 3802540, member: 2117"] Considering Pat's record and the fact that Holly averaged 25 wins per season, 30-33 is much more realistic than 25. Pat's last 5 years were: 2008: 36-2, Parker's Jr year title 2009: 22-11, her worst season of all time 2010: 32-3 2011: 34-3 2012: 27-9* (Holly took over most coaching duties this season as a segway to take over in 2013 so id consider this more of Holly's season even if it is technically Pat's). An average of those 5 years and it is 30 wins. If you throw out the outlier seasons of 22 wins (worst season of all time), 27 wins (Holly coaching) and 36 wins (her 2nd highest of all time and largely a product of Candace Parker), the last 2 seasons were 32 and 34 wins, which gives an average of 33. Every season from 1993-2007 she won at least 29 games, and averaged 31.8 wins over those 15 years while playing the strongest SOS year in year out. She was still recruiting very well too up to when the diagnosis was revealed. I understand the sentiment from people who think that Pat winning another title was unlikely, but there's no logical reason to assume Pat's wins would drop to 25 per season if she maintained her health. Had she won an average of 30 games a season from 2013-2020, Pat would have 1338 wins. Had she won 33 games per season, it'd be 1362. Realistically Geno and Tara could coach another 5-10 years. Both are healthy and recruiting extremely well. That said, as we saw with Pat's health, anything can happen. No one expected Pat's coaching career would end 3 years after she cracked 1000 wins at 56 years old. My guess is if both Geno and Tara stay healthy they'll end up in the high 1200s- low 1400s range which will likely never be broken in our lifetimes unless seasons are expanded to 45+ games. For someone to match or beat that number means a coach will need to average 30-35 wins for an almost 40 year coaching career. [/QUOTE]

Verification: First name of men's bb coach

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