Realistically?
We need some luck in the turnover department. Force a couple early turnovers and get some momentum early in the game. We haven't done this one time this entire season. Take care of the ball on our end and take advantage of our opportunities when they come. There will be some oppies- gotta make the most of them.
Win the field position battle. Special teams will be crucial tonight. Need to catch every punt so as to not lose any yards and need to pin them deep when we can.
Don't give up big plays. This, to me, is so crucial. Every coach defines them differently but I usually think of them as 15 yards on running plays and 20 yards on passing plays. All about making UH have to go 10-12 plays if they want to score.
Finally, bend but for God's sake don't break. If we can hold them to FG's and stick around, they will start to get frustrated.
UH has one of the best run defenses in the country. Ed Oliver is going to an absolute beast tonight and I am extremely worried about him. If at all possible, I'd like to see us run some read type running plays where we key him and leave him unblocked as the "read" defender.