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Message: [QUOTE="kingdobbs, post: 3496526, member: 1655"] Per capita, it’s probably going to be much WORSE for those rural areas, because it will take many fewer cases to overwhelm a small rural hospital that may be the only one for 30-50 miles, maybe more. Litchfield County has three hospitals in its borders: Torrington, Sharon, and New Milford. Between them there’s approximately 300 beds ( and for the sake of argument let’s say that hospitals in border cities like Waterbury and Danbury are at or over capacity). BUT, according to 2018 hospital survey data conducted by the state health strategy office, 2/3 of those are filled on average on a given day. So the number of new hospitalizations they can handle is about 100 (Or about thirty between them). If we hypothesize that 20% of infected persons will need hospitalization (and that’s probably overestimating a little bit, but not by much), that means that the capacity of the hospitals would be met with 500 confirmed infections. There’s just about 190,000 people in Litchfield County. That means the county as a whole can be 100% over capacity (ie, 1000 total infected, 200 requiring hospitalization) with a 0.4% infection rate versus the total population. That’s not a lot of people, all told. [/QUOTE]