Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="Get a Job, post: 3864740, member: 9775"] The fact that Team A lost the first two matchups says nothing about their likelihood of winning game 3. Basketball games are not dice rolls, but the statistical truism "past results do not affect future outcomes" is still applicable. The data set I referenced only looked at scenarios where Teams A had lost twice to Teams B. It is unknown (to us anyway) which team was favored in any of those already-completed games, but we can safely say Team A had a better-than-0 chance in every game. We can certainly not say that team A had a lower-than-27% chance of winning games 1 and 2, but your assertion requires that we can. At the risk of repeating myself, I cannot believe you actually hold this position. You're doing that thing they do in law school where you are asked to argue for the side that you disagree with, aren't you? [/QUOTE]