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Message: [QUOTE="shizzle787, post: 4550815, member: 6581"] The 68-team era having a worse bubble would make sense if there wasn't consolidation among the top 10 leagues in the last decade, but there has been. The major leagues are bigger (and thus more major conference teams have suspect records) and we still have only seen Michigan (last year) get in with a record this bad. (I don't count the two 2021 teams as OOC schedules were all over the place.) In the 26 seasons between 1985 and 2010, three suspect teams got in. So about 11% of the time, one of these teams got in. Between 2011 and 2022 (10 seasons-not counting 20 or 21), only one suspect team got in (9% of the time). For all the talk of the bubble getting worse, statistically it is actually harder to get in only three games over .500. Also, Iowa State has eight Q1 wins right now, but you are forgetting some of those may turn into Q2 before Selection Sunday, and they will pick up at least one more Q2 loss along the way if they lose out. Two of the Quad 1 wins (UNC: 47 and Oklahoma: 65) are on life support. That is a problem. If those two stink up the joint, Iowa State would likely finish 6-11 in Quad 1. It gets better: they are 2-8 on the road this year. [/QUOTE]