Updated ESPN Basketball Power Index

[CamrnCrz1974]

 

[Golden Husky]

Based on those percentages, the odds would be as follows:

UConn 6/5
Stanford 12/5
South Carolina 9/2
Arizona 13/1

Of course, that would be a book without any vigorish so a more realistic future book (adding 20% juice) would be:

UConn 4/5
Stanford 8/5
South Carolina 4/1
Arizona 12/1

Also...

UConn -13 1/2
Arizona +13 1/2

Stanford -3
South Carolina +3

 

[Vowelguy]

View attachment 66488

Which doesnt mean it favors UConn over Stanford, merely that UConn is a much bigger favorite in its semifinal game than Stanford is in its.
To be clear, BPI may favor either team. We don't know.

Eg, while many permutations are possible, here's one that would generate those results:
UConn over Ariz 85%
Stan over SC 58%
----------------
UConn over SC 55%
Stan over UConn 51%
Stan over Ariz 60%
SC over Ariz 51%

To be clear, the above is just one set of probabilities that would generate the BPI results. There are many others. But rough story is that Arizona is significant underdog at final 4.

 

[jaydee602]

Based on those percentages, the odds would be as follows:

UConn 6/5
Stanford 12/5
South Carolina 9/2
Arizona 13/1

Of course, that would be a book without any vigorish so a more realistic future book (adding 20% juice) would be:

UConn 4/5
Stanford 8/5
South Carolina 4/1
Arizona 12/1

Also...

UConn -13 1/2
Arizona +13 1/2

Stanford -3
South Carolina +3

Taking it one step further, if UCONN wins on Friday, then Massey has the following matchup spread:
UCONN (-7) over South Carolina
UCONN (-1) over Stanford

 

[FanFromMaine]

Which doesnt mean it favors UConn over Stanford, merely that UConn is a much bigger favorite in its semifinal game than Stanford is in its.

Eg, while many permutations are possible, here's one that would generate those results:
UConn over Ariz 85%
Stan over SC 58%
----------------
UConn over SC 55%
Stan over UConn 51%
Stan over Ariz 60%
SC over Ariz 51%

I beg to differ slightly with you. These types of calculations seem to me to conflate odds and ultimate winners although, as you point out, outlier permutations do exist.

 

[fly2themoon]

Which doesnt mean it favors UConn over Stanford, merely that UConn is a much bigger favorite in its semifinal game than Stanford is in its.

Eg, while many permutations are possible, here's one that would generate those results:
UConn over Ariz 85%
Stan over SC 58%
----------------
UConn over SC 55%
Stan over UConn 51%
Stan over Ariz 60%
SC over Ariz 51%

Sneaky ESPN. Two biased ESPN analysts favored Baylor to win the Elite 8 match up, and now they favor Stanford to win the NC while appearing to mislead as if Uconn has a better chance of winning the NC.

 

[Vowelguy]

Sneaky ESPN. Two biased ESPN analysts favored Baylor to win the Elite 8 match up, and now they favor Stanford to win the NC while appearing to mislead as if Uconn has a better chance of winning the NC.

"Two biased analysts" AKA, "People paid to give their opinion, giving an opinion."

And the BPI is a formal/computer-generated result. It's not "ESPN"s or "their" opinion.

UConn does have a better chance of winning the NC.

And I should've said, that you cannot conclude based on the data shown that the BPI predicts UConn over Stanford, or vice versa.

 

[fly2themoon]

Thanks for your comments. I do hold my grudges for a long while.